Stock Analysis

The Market Doesn't Like What It Sees From Tigo Energy, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:TYGO) Revenues Yet As Shares Tumble 28%

NasdaqCM:TYGO
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To the annoyance of some shareholders, Tigo Energy, Inc. (NASDAQ:TYGO) shares are down a considerable 28% in the last month, which continues a horrid run for the company. The recent drop completes a disastrous twelve months for shareholders, who are sitting on a 86% loss during that time.

Even after such a large drop in price, Tigo Energy's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.5x might still make it look like a buy right now compared to the Electrical industry in the United States, where around half of the companies have P/S ratios above 1.3x and even P/S above 4x are quite common. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's limited.

Check out our latest analysis for Tigo Energy

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NasdaqCM:TYGO Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry January 18th 2024

What Does Tigo Energy's P/S Mean For Shareholders?

Tigo Energy certainly has been doing a good job lately as it's been growing revenue more than most other companies. Perhaps the market is expecting future revenue performance to dive, which has kept the P/S suppressed. If the company manages to stay the course, then investors should be rewarded with a share price that matches its revenue figures.

Keen to find out how analysts think Tigo Energy's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

Is There Any Revenue Growth Forecasted For Tigo Energy?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should underperform the industry for P/S ratios like Tigo Energy's to be considered reasonable.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew revenue by an impressive 191% last year. This great performance means it was also able to deliver immense revenue growth over the last three years. Accordingly, shareholders would have been over the moon with those medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the three analysts covering the company suggest revenue growth is heading into negative territory, declining 41% over the next year. With the industry predicted to deliver 17% growth, that's a disappointing outcome.

With this information, we are not surprised that Tigo Energy is trading at a P/S lower than the industry. However, shrinking revenues are unlikely to lead to a stable P/S over the longer term. Even just maintaining these prices could be difficult to achieve as the weak outlook is weighing down the shares.

The Bottom Line On Tigo Energy's P/S

Tigo Energy's P/S has taken a dip along with its share price. While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.

It's clear to see that Tigo Energy maintains its low P/S on the weakness of its forecast for sliding revenue, as expected. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in revenue isn't great enough to justify a higher P/S ratio. Unless there's material change, it's hard to envision a situation where the stock price will rise drastically.

And what about other risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 5 warning signs for Tigo Energy (of which 3 make us uncomfortable!) you should know about.

If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Tigo Energy might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.