Stock Analysis

Is Rush Enterprises (NASDAQ:RUSH.B) A Risky Investment?

NasdaqGS:RUSH.B
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Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We note that Rush Enterprises, Inc. (NASDAQ:RUSH.B) does have debt on its balance sheet. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

See our latest analysis for Rush Enterprises

What Is Rush Enterprises's Debt?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Rush Enterprises had debt of US$1.06b at the end of March 2021, a reduction from US$1.50b over a year. However, it also had US$316.1m in cash, and so its net debt is US$739.3m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NasdaqGS:RUSH.B Debt to Equity History July 8th 2021

A Look At Rush Enterprises' Liabilities

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Rush Enterprises had liabilities of US$1.03b falling due within a year, and liabilities of US$670.9m due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of US$316.1m as well as receivables valued at US$187.2m due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by US$1.20b.

While this might seem like a lot, it is not so bad since Rush Enterprises has a market capitalization of US$2.28b, and so it could probably strengthen its balance sheet by raising capital if it needed to. However, it is still worthwhile taking a close look at its ability to pay off debt.

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

We'd say that Rush Enterprises's moderate net debt to EBITDA ratio ( being 2.1), indicates prudence when it comes to debt. And its commanding EBIT of 36.6 times its interest expense, implies the debt load is as light as a peacock feather. Unfortunately, Rush Enterprises's EBIT flopped 11% over the last four quarters. If that sort of decline is not arrested, then the managing its debt will be harder than selling broccoli flavoured ice-cream for a premium. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Rush Enterprises can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. Over the last three years, Rush Enterprises actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT. There's nothing better than incoming cash when it comes to staying in your lenders' good graces.

Our View

Rush Enterprises's interest cover was a real positive on this analysis, as was its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow. On the other hand, its EBIT growth rate makes us a little less comfortable about its debt. Considering this range of data points, we think Rush Enterprises is in a good position to manage its debt levels. But a word of caution: we think debt levels are high enough to justify ongoing monitoring. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example - Rush Enterprises has 4 warning signs we think you should be aware of.

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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