Stock Analysis

Why Investors Shouldn't Be Surprised By Orion Energy Systems, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:OESX) Low P/S

NasdaqCM:OESX
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With a price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.4x Orion Energy Systems, Inc. (NASDAQ:OESX) may be sending bullish signals at the moment, given that almost half of all the Electrical companies in the United States have P/S ratios greater than 1.6x and even P/S higher than 4x are not unusual. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's limited.

Check out our latest analysis for Orion Energy Systems

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NasdaqCM:OESX Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry January 8th 2024

How Orion Energy Systems Has Been Performing

While the industry has experienced revenue growth lately, Orion Energy Systems' revenue has gone into reverse gear, which is not great. It seems that many are expecting the poor revenue performance to persist, which has repressed the P/S ratio. So while you could say the stock is cheap, investors will be looking for improvement before they see it as good value.

Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Orion Energy Systems will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/S?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as low as Orion Energy Systems' is when the company's growth is on track to lag the industry.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 9.2% decrease to the company's top line. This means it has also seen a slide in revenue over the longer-term as revenue is down 18% in total over the last three years. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing revenue over that time.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the two analysts covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 33% each year over the next three years. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to expand by 53% each year, which is noticeably more attractive.

With this in consideration, its clear as to why Orion Energy Systems' P/S is falling short industry peers. It seems most investors are expecting to see limited future growth and are only willing to pay a reduced amount for the stock.

The Bottom Line On Orion Energy Systems' P/S

It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

As we suspected, our examination of Orion Energy Systems' analyst forecasts revealed that its inferior revenue outlook is contributing to its low P/S. Shareholders' pessimism on the revenue prospects for the company seems to be the main contributor to the depressed P/S. The company will need a change of fortune to justify the P/S rising higher in the future.

There are also other vital risk factors to consider and we've discovered 2 warning signs for Orion Energy Systems (1 is concerning!) that you should be aware of before investing here.

If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Orion Energy Systems is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.