Firefly Aerospace Inc.

NasdaqGM:FLY Stock Report

Market Cap: US$4.4b

Firefly Aerospace Dividends and Buybacks

Dividend criteria checks 0/6

Firefly Aerospace does not have a record of paying a dividend.

Key information

n/a

Dividend yield

-21.5%

Buyback Yield

Total Shareholder Yield-21.5%
Future Dividend Yield0%
Dividend Growthn/a
Next dividend pay daten/a
Ex dividend daten/a
Dividend per sharen/a
Payout ration/a

Recent dividend and buyback updates

No updates

Recent updates

Narrative Update Jul 27

FLY: Space Force And Lunar Missions Will Drive Future Upside

Analysts have revised their fair value estimate for Firefly Aerospace to $25.00 from $35.00, reflecting updated assumptions around the discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E expectations. What’s in the News for Firefly Aerospace Firefly Aerospace is guiding for US$420 million to US$450 million in 2026 revenue backed by U.S. Space Force contracts, and highlighted its role in the Golden Dome space based interceptor program and a US$109 million engineering change proposal under the FORGE Enterprise OPIR Services contract (source: Goldman Sachs space economy coverage).
Seeking Alpha Jul 11

Firefly Aerospace: Potential Next Space Winner To Buy

Summary Firefly Aerospace is expanding into an end-to-end space transportation provider, targeting LEO to cislunar missions with launchers, landers, and transfer vehicles. I raise my price target to $51.68, reflecting high-growth prospects, and believe FLY is undervalued; the stock remains a buy despite near-term losses. FLY’s contract momentum is robust, but margin growth hinges on ramping production cadence and disciplined cost management, especially as many contracts currently lack scale. Break-even on operating cash flow is expected by 2028, but execution risk on production ramp-up and aerospace/defense sector valuations remains a key watch item. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Narrative Update Jul 10

FLY: NASA Moon And Mars Contracts Will Drive Future Upside

Analysts have raised their price target for Firefly Aerospace to $35.00 from $27.00, citing updates in discount rate assumptions, revised revenue growth expectations, higher projected profit margins, and a lower future P/E estimate as key drivers of the change. What’s in the News for Firefly Aerospace Firefly Aerospace secured a US$144 million NASA Commercial Lunar Payload Services contract to use its Blue Ghost lunar lander for a rapid 2028 Moon mission, delivering three NASA science instruments to the lunar near side.
Narrative Update Jun 26

FLY: MoonFall Contract Will Anchor Future Lunar And Defense Upside

Analysts have adjusted their price target for Firefly Aerospace from $37.00 to $48.22. This reflects updated views on fair value, discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E assumptions.

Stability and Growth of Payments

Fetching dividends data

Stable Dividend: Insufficient data to determine if FLY's dividends per share have been stable in the past.

Growing Dividend: Insufficient data to determine if FLY's dividend payments have been increasing.


Dividend Yield vs Market

Firefly Aerospace Dividend Yield vs Market
How does FLY dividend yield compare to the market?
SegmentDividend Yield
Company (FLY)n/a
Market Bottom 25% (US)1.3%
Market Top 25% (US)4.0%
Industry Average (Aerospace & Defense)1.0%
Analyst forecast (FLY) (up to 3 years)0%

Notable Dividend: Unable to evaluate FLY's dividend yield against the bottom 25% of dividend payers, as the company has not reported any recent payouts.

High Dividend: Unable to evaluate FLY's dividend yield against the top 25% of dividend payers, as the company has not reported any recent payouts.


Earnings Payout to Shareholders

Earnings Coverage: Insufficient data to calculate FLY's payout ratio to determine if its dividend payments are covered by earnings.


Cash Payout to Shareholders

Cash Flow Coverage: Unable to calculate sustainability of dividends as FLY has not reported any payouts.


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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/08/10 06:47
End of Day Share Price 2026/08/10 00:00
Earnings2026/03/31
Annual Earnings2025/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Firefly Aerospace Inc. is covered by 11 analysts. 9 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Michael CrawfordB. Riley Securities, Inc.
Colin CanfieldCantor Fitzgerald & Co.
Xin YuDeutsche Bank