Firefly Aerospace Inc.

NasdaqGM:FLY Stock Report

Market Cap: US$4.1b

Firefly Aerospace Past Earnings Performance

Past criteria checks 0/6

Firefly Aerospace's earnings have been declining at an average annual rate of -27.9%, while the Aerospace & Defense industry saw earnings growing at 20.3% annually. Revenues have been growing at an average rate of 70.7% per year.

Key information

-27.94%

Earnings growth rate

84.21%

EPS growth rate

Aerospace & Defense Industry Growth5.38%
Revenue growth rate70.66%
Return on equity-32.43%
Net Margin-193.83%
Last Earnings Update31 Mar 2026

Recent past performance updates

Recent updates

Narrative Update Jun 26

FLY: MoonFall Contract Will Anchor Future Lunar And Defense Upside

Analysts have adjusted their price target for Firefly Aerospace from $37.00 to $48.22. This reflects updated views on fair value, discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E assumptions.
Seeking Alpha Jun 06

Firefly Aerospace: A Discounted Space And Defense Platform

Summary Firefly is rated BUY with a 12-month price target of $53, reflecting a significant discount to fair value after recent share price weakness. FLY's diversified platform now spans launch vehicles, lunar landers, and AI-enabled defense software, with the SciTec acquisition adding recurring, stable government contract revenue. Record Q1 revenue of $80.9 million and reaffirmed 2026 guidance of $420–$450 million, with 80% of sales already booked and a $1.3 billion backlog, support the growth thesis. FLY trades at ~14x 2026 sales guidance versus RocketLab's 70x, with defense contracts and successful lunar missions offering upside despite execution and launch cadence risks. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha

Revenue & Expenses Breakdown

How Firefly Aerospace makes and spends money. Based on latest reported earnings, on an LTM basis.


Earnings and Revenue History

NasdaqGM:FLY Revenue, expenses and earnings (USD Millions)
DateRevenueEarningsG+A ExpensesR&D Expenses
31 Mar 26185-35886220
31 Dec 25160-33453200
30 Sep 25111-39652185
30 Jun 25103-30246166
31 Mar 25108-28048160
31 Dec 2461-26647149
31 Dec 2355-15641118

Quality Earnings: FLY is currently unprofitable.

Growing Profit Margin: FLY is currently unprofitable.


Free Cash Flow vs Earnings Analysis


Past Earnings Growth Analysis

Earnings Trend: Insufficient data to determine if FLY's year-on-year earnings growth rate was positive over the past 5 years.

Accelerating Growth: Unable to compare FLY's earnings growth over the past year to its 5-year average as it is currently unprofitable

Earnings vs Industry: FLY is unprofitable, making it difficult to compare its past year earnings growth to the Aerospace & Defense industry (23.9%).


Return on Equity

High ROE: FLY has a negative Return on Equity (-32.43%), as it is currently unprofitable.


Return on Assets


Return on Capital Employed


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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/07/09 23:25
End of Day Share Price 2026/07/09 00:00
Earnings2026/03/31
Annual Earnings2025/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Firefly Aerospace Inc. is covered by 10 analysts. 8 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Michael CrawfordB. Riley Securities, Inc.
Colin CanfieldCantor Fitzgerald & Co.
Xin YuDeutsche Bank