Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. Importantly, Art's-Way Manufacturing Co., Inc. (NASDAQ:ARTW) does carry debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?
When Is Debt Dangerous?
Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.
Check out our latest analysis for Art's-Way Manufacturing
What Is Art's-Way Manufacturing's Net Debt?
You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that Art's-Way Manufacturing had US$6.64m of debt in May 2024, down from US$7.66m, one year before. And it doesn't have much cash, so its net debt is about the same.
A Look At Art's-Way Manufacturing's Liabilities
The latest balance sheet data shows that Art's-Way Manufacturing had liabilities of US$8.71m due within a year, and liabilities of US$3.23m falling due after that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of US$4.5k as well as receivables valued at US$2.68m due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by US$9.25m.
When you consider that this deficiency exceeds the company's US$7.71m market capitalization, you might well be inclined to review the balance sheet intently. Hypothetically, extremely heavy dilution would be required if the company were forced to pay down its liabilities by raising capital at the current share price.
In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).
Weak interest cover of 0.53 times and a disturbingly high net debt to EBITDA ratio of 5.6 hit our confidence in Art's-Way Manufacturing like a one-two punch to the gut. This means we'd consider it to have a heavy debt load. Worse, Art's-Way Manufacturing's EBIT was down 78% over the last year. If earnings keep going like that over the long term, it has a snowball's chance in hell of paying off that debt. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Art's-Way Manufacturing will need earnings to service that debt. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.
Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. During the last three years, Art's-Way Manufacturing burned a lot of cash. While investors are no doubt expecting a reversal of that situation in due course, it clearly does mean its use of debt is more risky.
Our View
On the face of it, Art's-Way Manufacturing's conversion of EBIT to free cash flow left us tentative about the stock, and its EBIT growth rate was no more enticing than the one empty restaurant on the busiest night of the year. And furthermore, its net debt to EBITDA also fails to instill confidence. We think the chances that Art's-Way Manufacturing has too much debt a very significant. To our minds, that means the stock is rather high risk, and probably one to avoid; but to each their own (investing) style. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. We've identified 1 warning sign with Art's-Way Manufacturing , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.
If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NasdaqCM:ARTW
Art's-Way Manufacturing
Manufactures and sells agricultural equipment, specialized modular science and agricultural buildings in the United States and internationally.
Good value with adequate balance sheet.