Stock Analysis

Need To Know: Analysts Just Made A Substantial Cut To Their Array Technologies, Inc. (NASDAQ:ARRY) Estimates

NasdaqGM:ARRY
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The latest analyst coverage could presage a bad day for Array Technologies, Inc. (NASDAQ:ARRY), with the analysts making across-the-board cuts to their statutory estimates that might leave shareholders a little shell-shocked. Revenue and earnings per share (EPS) forecasts were both revised downwards, with analysts seeing grey clouds on the horizon.

Following this downgrade, Array Technologies' 23 analysts are forecasting 2024 revenues to be US$1.6b, approximately in line with the last 12 months. Per-share earnings are expected to ascend 15% to US$0.65. Previously, the analysts had been modelling revenues of US$1.9b and earnings per share (EPS) of US$0.87 in 2024. Indeed, we can see that the analysts are a lot more bearish about Array Technologies' prospects, administering a measurable cut to revenue estimates and slashing their EPS estimates to boot.

View our latest analysis for Array Technologies

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NasdaqGM:ARRY Earnings and Revenue Growth February 29th 2024

The consensus price target fell 13% to US$21.28, with the weaker earnings outlook clearly leading analyst valuation estimates.

Of course, another way to look at these forecasts is to place them into context against the industry itself. We would highlight that sales are expected to reverse, with a forecast 0.8% annualised revenue decline to the end of 2024. That is a notable change from historical growth of 25% over the last five years. Compare this with our data, which suggests that other companies in the same industry are, in aggregate, expected to see their revenue grow 7.7% per year. So although its revenues are forecast to shrink, this cloud does not come with a silver lining - Array Technologies is expected to lag the wider industry.

The Bottom Line

The most important thing to take away is that analysts cut their earnings per share estimates, expecting a clear decline in business conditions. Unfortunately analysts also downgraded their revenue estimates, and industry data suggests that Array Technologies' revenues are expected to grow slower than the wider market. With a serious cut to this year's expectations and a falling price target, we wouldn't be surprised if investors were becoming wary of Array Technologies.

A high debt burden combined with a downgrade of this magnitude always gives us some reason for concern, especially if these forecasts are just the first sign of a business downturn. See why we're concerned about Array Technologies' balance sheet by visiting our risks dashboard for free on our platform here.

Another thing to consider is whether management and directors have been buying or selling stock recently. We provide an overview of all open market stock trades for the last twelve months on our platform, here.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Array Technologies is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.