The board of Comerica Incorporated (NYSE:CMA) has announced that it will pay a dividend on the 1st of July, with investors receiving $0.71 per share. The dividend yield will be 5.4% based on this payment which is still above the industry average.
See our latest analysis for Comerica
Comerica's Earnings Will Easily Cover The Distributions
We like to see robust dividend yields, but that doesn't matter if the payment isn't sustainable.
Comerica has established itself as a dividend paying company with over 10 years history of distributing earnings to shareholders. Past distributions do not necessarily guarantee future ones, but Comerica's payout ratio of 56% is a good sign as this means that earnings decently cover dividends.
Over the next 3 years, EPS is forecast to expand by 29.0%. Analysts forecast the future payout ratio could be 50% over the same time horizon, which is a number we think the company can maintain.
Comerica Has A Solid Track Record
Even over a long history of paying dividends, the company's distributions have been remarkably stable. The annual payment during the last 10 years was $0.68 in 2014, and the most recent fiscal year payment was $2.84. This works out to be a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 15% a year over that time. Rapidly growing dividends for a long time is a very valuable feature for an income stock.
Dividend Growth Is Doubtful
Investors who have held shares in the company for the past few years will be happy with the dividend income they have received. However, things aren't all that rosy. Comerica has seen earnings per share falling at 8.4% per year over the last five years. If earnings continue declining, the company may have to make the difficult choice of reducing the dividend or even stopping it completely - the opposite of dividend growth. Earnings are predicted to grow over the next year, but we would remain cautious until a track record of earnings growth is established.
In Summary
Overall, a consistent dividend is a good thing, and we think that Comerica has the ability to continue this into the future. The earnings coverage is acceptable for now, but with earnings on the decline we would definitely keep an eye on the payout ratio. The payment isn't stellar, but it could make a decent addition to a dividend portfolio.
Market movements attest to how highly valued a consistent dividend policy is compared to one which is more unpredictable. At the same time, there are other factors our readers should be conscious of before pouring capital into a stock. As an example, we've identified 1 warning sign for Comerica that you should be aware of before investing. If you are a dividend investor, you might also want to look at our curated list of high yield dividend stocks.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NYSE:CMA
Comerica
Through its subsidiaries, provides various financial products and services.
Flawless balance sheet established dividend payer.