Simmons First National Corporation

NasdaqGS:SFNC Stock Report

Market Cap: US$2.1b

Simmons First National Valuation

Is SFNC undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

1/6

Valuation Score 1/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of SFNC when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: SFNC ($16.85) is trading above our estimate of fair value ($14.8)

Significantly Below Fair Value: SFNC is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for SFNC?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

SFNC key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenuen/a
Enterprise Value/EBITDAn/a
PEG Ratio1.7x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does SFNC's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for SFNC vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average14.4x
PRK Park National
17.2x-0.9%US$2.2b
BKU BankUnited
12.5x13.6%US$2.0b
TOWN TowneBank
13.1x12.9%US$1.9b
BOH Bank of Hawaii
14.8x-1.2%US$2.2b
SFNC Simmons First National
12.6x7.4%US$2.1b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: SFNC is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (12.6x) compared to the peer average (14.4x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does SFNC's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Banks Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a8.5%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a8.5%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: SFNC is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (12.6x) compared to the US Banks industry average (9.5x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is SFNC's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

SFNC PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio12.6x
Fair PE Ratio11.8x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: SFNC is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (12.6x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11.8x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst SFNC forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$16.85
US$20.20
+19.9%
6.6%US$22.00US$18.00n/a5
Jun ’25US$17.38
US$20.20
+16.2%
6.6%US$22.00US$18.00n/a5
May ’25US$17.33
US$20.20
+16.6%
6.6%US$22.00US$18.00n/a5
Apr ’25US$19.29
US$20.60
+6.8%
7.3%US$22.00US$18.00n/a5
Mar ’25US$19.05
US$20.60
+8.1%
7.3%US$22.00US$18.00n/a5
Feb ’25US$18.59
US$20.60
+10.8%
7.3%US$22.00US$18.00n/a5
Jan ’25US$19.84
US$18.60
-6.2%
11.1%US$21.00US$15.00n/a5
Dec ’24US$16.76
US$17.10
+2.0%
9.1%US$19.00US$15.00n/a5
Nov ’24US$14.44
US$17.10
+18.4%
9.1%US$19.00US$15.00n/a5
Oct ’24US$16.96
US$19.70
+16.2%
5.9%US$21.00US$17.50n/a5
Sep ’24US$18.36
US$19.70
+7.3%
5.9%US$21.00US$17.50n/a5
Aug ’24US$19.87
US$19.70
-0.9%
5.9%US$21.00US$17.50n/a5
Jul ’24US$17.25
US$18.80
+9.0%
8.5%US$20.00US$16.00n/a5
Jun ’24US$16.71
US$19.00
+13.7%
6.7%US$20.00US$17.00US$17.385
May ’24US$16.41
US$19.00
+15.8%
6.7%US$20.00US$17.00US$17.335
Apr ’24US$17.49
US$23.60
+34.9%
12.2%US$26.00US$18.00US$19.295
Mar ’24US$22.13
US$24.00
+8.5%
8.7%US$26.00US$20.00US$19.055
Feb ’24US$22.56
US$23.60
+4.6%
8.7%US$26.00US$20.00US$18.595
Jan ’24US$21.58
US$25.60
+18.6%
8.0%US$28.00US$23.00US$19.845
Dec ’23US$23.06
US$26.20
+13.6%
6.1%US$28.00US$24.00US$16.765
Nov ’23US$23.65
US$26.20
+10.8%
6.1%US$28.00US$24.00US$14.445
Oct ’23US$21.79
US$26.10
+19.8%
7.7%US$29.00US$24.00US$16.965
Sep ’23US$23.49
US$26.10
+11.1%
7.7%US$29.00US$24.00US$18.365
Aug ’23US$23.86
US$26.10
+9.4%
7.7%US$29.00US$24.00US$19.875
Jul ’23US$21.44
US$27.80
+29.7%
12.4%US$33.50US$24.00US$17.255
Jun ’23US$25.22
US$28.90
+14.6%
8.6%US$33.50US$26.00US$16.715

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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