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Post-GFC recovery has led to improving credit quality and a strong growth environment for the banking sector. Economic growth impacts the stability of salaries and interest rate level which in turn affects borrowers’ demand for, and ability to repay, their loans. As a small-cap bank with a market capitalisation of US$167m, Peoples Bancorp of North Carolina, Inc.’s (NASDAQ:PEBK) profit and value are directly affected by economic activity. Risk associate with repayment is measured by the level of bad debt which is an expense written off Peoples Bancorp of North Carolina’s bottom line. Today I will take you through some bad debt and liability measures to analyse the level of risky assets held by the bank. Looking through a risk-lens is a useful way to assess the attractiveness of Peoples Bancorp of North Carolina’s a stock investment.
See our latest analysis for Peoples Bancorp of North Carolina
Does Peoples Bancorp of North Carolina Understand Its Own Risks?
Peoples Bancorp of North Carolina’s ability to forecast and provision for its bad loans indicates it has a good understanding of the level of risk it is taking on. If the bank provisions for more than 100% of the bad debt it actually writes off, then it is considered to be relatively prudent and accurate in its bad debt provisioning. Given its high bad loan to bad debt ratio of 194.48% Peoples Bancorp of North Carolina has cautiously over-provisioned 94.48% above the appropriate minimum, indicating a safe and prudent forecasting methodology, and its ability to anticipate the factors contributing to its bad loan levels.
What Is An Appropriate Level Of Risk?
Peoples Bancorp of North Carolina’s operations expose it to risky assets by lending to borrowers who may not be able to repay their loans. Typically, loans that are “bad” and cannot be recuperated by the bank should comprise less than 3% of its total loans. Bad debt is written off as expenses when loans are not repaid which directly impacts Peoples Bancorp of North Carolina’s bottom line. The bank’s bad debt only makes up a very small 0.41% to total debt which means means the bank has very strict bad debt management and faces insignificant levels of default.How Big Is Peoples Bancorp of North Carolina’s Safety Net?
Peoples Bancorp of North Carolina profits from lending out its various forms of borrowings and charging interest rates. Deposits from customers tend to carry the lowest risk due to the relatively stable interest rate and amount available.
As a rule, a bank is considered less risky if it holds a higher level of deposits.
Since Peoples Bancorp of North Carolina’s total deposit to total liabilities is very high at 90% which is well-above the prudent level of 50% for banks, Peoples Bancorp of North Carolina may be too cautious with its level of deposits and has plenty of headroom to take on risker forms of liability.
Next Steps:
PEBK’s acquisition will impact the business moving forward. Keep an eye on how this decision plays out in the future, especially on its financial health and earnings growth. I’ve bookmarked PEBK’s company page on Simply Wall St to stay informed with changes in outlook and valuation. This is also the source of data for this article. The three main sections I’d recommend you check out are:
- Future Outlook: What are well-informed industry analysts predicting for PEBK’s future growth? Take a look at our free research report of analyst consensus for PEBK’s outlook.
- Valuation: What is PEBK worth today? Has the future growth potential already been factored into the price? The intrinsic value infographic in our free research report helps visualize whether PEBK is currently mispriced by the market.
- Other High-Performing Stocks: Are there other stocks that provide better prospects with proven track records? Explore our free list of these great stocks here.
To help readers see past the short term volatility of the financial market, we aim to bring you a long-term focused research analysis purely driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis does not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements.
The author is an independent contributor and at the time of publication had no position in the stocks mentioned. For errors that warrant correction please contact the editor at editorial-team@simplywallst.com.