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- NasdaqGS:NWBI
Northwest Bancshares (NWBI): Evaluating Valuation Following Recent Stabilization in Share Price
Reviewed by Simply Wall St
See our latest analysis for Northwest Bancshares.
After a choppy start to the year, Northwest Bancshares' share price has steadied in recent weeks, recovering 2.05% over the past month following earlier losses. While the 1-year total shareholder return is still down a notable 13.01%, long-term holders can point to a 30.85% total return over five years. Momentum appears mixed at the moment as the company weighs consistent revenue and earnings gains against broader sector headwinds.
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With shares trading at a notable discount to analyst targets and annual revenue and income both on the rise, the real question for investors is whether Northwest Bancshares is undervalued or if future growth is already reflected in the price.
Most Popular Narrative: 10.6% Undervalued
Northwest Bancshares is trading at $11.96, and the narrative suggests fair value is higher. Recent trading levels indicate that the stock is priced below what many expect its future performance can justify.
Ongoing expansion into high-growth suburban markets (Columbus and Indianapolis) through de novo branch openings positions the bank to capture incremental deposit growth and new lending opportunities. This could potentially accelerate long-term revenue growth, as demographics remain favorable for regional and community banks.
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Result: Fair Value of $13.38 (UNDERVALUED)
Have a read of the narrative in full and understand what's behind the forecasts.
However, ongoing branch expansion costs and credit risks tied to slower-growth regions could present challenges to Northwest Bancshares' positive trajectory in future quarters.
Find out about the key risks to this Northwest Bancshares narrative.
Another View: Multiples Raise Caution
Looking through the lens of price-to-earnings, Northwest Bancshares currently trades at 15.5x, which is noticeably more expensive than US banks at 11.4x for both peers and the broader sector. With a fair ratio calculated at 14.9x, this spotlights a possible valuation risk that multiples could compress toward market averages. Is the current premium justified, or could it slip away?
See what the numbers say about this price — find out in our valuation breakdown.
Build Your Own Northwest Bancshares Narrative
If you want a different perspective or enjoy hands-on analysis, you can dive into the data and build your own narrative in just a few minutes. Do it your way
A great starting point for your Northwest Bancshares research is our analysis highlighting 3 key rewards and 2 important warning signs that could impact your investment decision.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
Discover if Northwest Bancshares might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.
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About NasdaqGS:NWBI
Northwest Bancshares
Operates as the bank holding company for Northwest Bank, a state-chartered savings bank that provides personal and business banking solutions in the United States.
Flawless balance sheet with reasonable growth potential.
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