Stock Analysis

Guaranty Bancshares (NASDAQ:GNTY) Is Due To Pay A Dividend Of US$0.20

NYSE:GNTY
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Guaranty Bancshares, Inc. (NASDAQ:GNTY) has announced that it will pay a dividend of US$0.20 per share on the 12th of January. This means that the annual payment will be 2.2% of the current stock price, which is in line with the average for the industry.

View our latest analysis for Guaranty Bancshares

Guaranty Bancshares' Earnings Easily Cover the Distributions

We like a dividend to be consistent over the long term, so checking whether it is sustainable is important. Before making this announcement, Guaranty Bancshares was easily earning enough to cover the dividend. This means that most of its earnings are being retained to grow the business.

Over the next year, EPS is forecast to fall by 9.9%. Assuming the dividend continues along recent trends, we believe the payout ratio could be 29%, which we are pretty comfortable with and we think is feasible on an earnings basis.

historic-dividend
NasdaqGS:GNTY Historic Dividend December 19th 2021

Guaranty Bancshares Is Still Building Its Track Record

Guaranty Bancshares' dividend has been pretty stable for a little while now, but we will continue to be cautious until it has been demonstrated for a few more years. Since 2016, the first annual payment was US$0.47, compared to the most recent full-year payment of US$0.80. This works out to be a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 11% a year over that time. Guaranty Bancshares has been growing its dividend quite rapidly, which is exciting. However, the short payment history makes us question whether this performance will persist across a full market cycle.

The Dividend Looks Likely To Grow

Some investors will be chomping at the bit to buy some of the company's stock based on its dividend history. Guaranty Bancshares has impressed us by growing EPS at 22% per year over the past five years. Earnings per share is growing at a solid clip, and the payout ratio is low which we think is an ideal combination in a dividend stock as the company can quite easily raise the dividend in the future.

We Really Like Guaranty Bancshares' Dividend

In summary, it is good to see that the dividend is staying consistent, and we don't think there is any reason to suspect this might change over the medium term. The earnings easily cover the company's distributions, and the company is generating plenty of cash. We should point out that the earnings are expected to fall over the next 12 months, which won't be a problem if this doesn't become a trend, but could cause some turbulence in the next year. All of these factors considered, we think this has solid potential as a dividend stock.

Market movements attest to how highly valued a consistent dividend policy is compared to one which is more unpredictable. Meanwhile, despite the importance of dividend payments, they are not the only factors our readers should know when assessing a company. To that end, Guaranty Bancshares has 3 warning signs (and 1 which is significant) we think you should know about. We have also put together a list of global stocks with a solid dividend.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.