Stock Analysis

Should You Be Adding First Merchants (NASDAQ:FRME) To Your Watchlist Today?

  •  Updated
NasdaqGS:FRME
Source: Shutterstock

Some have more dollars than sense, they say, so even companies that have no revenue, no profit, and a record of falling short, can easily find investors. But the reality is that when a company loses money each year, for long enough, its investors will usually take their share of those losses.

In the age of tech-stock blue-sky investing, my choice may seem old fashioned; I still prefer profitable companies like First Merchants (NASDAQ:FRME). While profit is not necessarily a social good, it's easy to admire a business that can consistently produce it. While a well funded company may sustain losses for years, unless its owners have an endless appetite for subsidizing the customer, it will need to generate a profit eventually, or else breathe its last breath.

Check out our latest analysis for First Merchants

First Merchants's Earnings Per Share Are Growing.

If a company can keep growing earnings per share (EPS) long enough, its share price will eventually follow. That makes EPS growth an attractive quality for any company. Over the last three years, First Merchants has grown EPS by 9.3% per year. That's a good rate of growth, if it can be sustained.

One way to double-check a company's growth is to look at how its revenue, and earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) margins are changing. I note that First Merchants's revenue from operations was lower than its revenue in the last twelve months, so that could distort my analysis of its margins. While we note First Merchants's EBIT margins were flat over the last year, revenue grew by a solid 21% to US$518m. That's a real positive.

You can take a look at the company's revenue and earnings growth trend, in the chart below. To see the actual numbers, click on the chart.

earnings-and-revenue-history
NasdaqGS:FRME Earnings and Revenue History November 19th 2021

In investing, as in life, the future matters more than the past. So why not check out this free interactive visualization of First Merchants's forecast profits?

Are First Merchants Insiders Aligned With All Shareholders?

I like company leaders to have some skin in the game, so to speak, because it increases alignment of incentives between the people running the business, and its true owners. As a result, I'm encouraged by the fact that insiders own First Merchants shares worth a considerable sum. Indeed, they hold US$33m worth of its stock. That shows significant buy-in, and may indicate conviction in the business strategy. Despite being just 1.4% of the company, the value of that investment is enough to show insiders have plenty riding on the venture.

It means a lot to see insiders invested in the business, but I find myself wondering if remuneration policies are shareholder friendly. Well, based on the CEO pay, I'd say they are indeed. For companies with market capitalizations between US$1.0b and US$3.2b, like First Merchants, the median CEO pay is around US$3.5m.

The First Merchants CEO received total compensation of just US$828k in the year to . That looks like modest pay to me, and may hint at a certain respect for the interests of shareholders. CEO compensation is hardly the most important aspect of a company to consider, but when its reasonable that does give me a little more confidence that leadership are looking out for shareholder interests. It can also be a sign of a culture of integrity, in a broader sense.

Is First Merchants Worth Keeping An Eye On?

One positive for First Merchants is that it is growing EPS. That's nice to see. Earnings growth might be the main game for First Merchants, but the fun does not stop there. With a meaningful level of insider ownership, and reasonable CEO pay, a reasonable mind might conclude that this is one stock worth watching. While we've looked at the quality of the earnings, we haven't yet done any work to value the stock. So if you like to buy cheap, you may want to check if First Merchants is trading on a high P/E or a low P/E, relative to its industry.

Of course, you can do well (sometimes) buying stocks that are not growing earnings and do not have insiders buying shares. But as a growth investor I always like to check out companies that do have those features. You can access a free list of them here.

Please note the insider transactions discussed in this article refer to reportable transactions in the relevant jurisdiction.

What are the risks and opportunities for First Merchants?

First Merchants Corporation operates as the financial holding company for First Merchants Bank that provides community banking services.

View Full Analysis

Rewards

  • Trading at 62.7% below our estimate of its fair value

  • Earnings grew by 15.2% over the past year

Risks

  • Earnings are forecast to decline by an average of 3% per year for the next 3 years

View all Risks and Rewards

Share Price

Market Cap

1Y Return

View Company Report