First Citizens BancShares

NasdaqGS:FCNC.A Stock Report

Mkt Cap: US$11.5b

We’ve recently updated our valuation analysis.

First Citizens BancShares Valuation

Is FCNC.A undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Analyst Forecast

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for FCNC.A?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

FCNC.A key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenuen/a
Enterprise Value/EBITDAn/a
PEG Ratio1x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does FCNC.A's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for FCNC.A vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyPEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average13.1x
FHN First Horizon
15.9x16.2%US$13.2b
EWBC East West Bancorp
9.7x8.1%US$9.8b
SIVB SVB Financial Group
8x5.0%US$12.8b
WBS Webster Financial
19x33.4%US$9.4b
FCNC.A First Citizens BancShares
12.7x13.2%US$11.6b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: FCNC.A is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (12.7x) compared to the peer average (13.2x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does FCNC.A's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Banks Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a8.1%
n/an/an/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: FCNC.A is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (12.7x) compared to the US Banks industry average (10x)


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is FCNC.A's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

FCNC.A PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio12.7x
Fair PE Ratio12x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: FCNC.A is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (12.7x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (12x).


Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of FCNC.A when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: FCNC.A ($807.74) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($1488.34)

Significantly Below Fair Value: FCNC.A is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst FCNC.A forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$807.74
US$975.00
+20.7%
2.6%US$1,000.00US$950.00n/a4
Nov ’23US$812.80
US$975.00
+20.0%
2.6%US$1,000.00US$950.00n/a4
Oct ’23US$797.43
US$925.00
+16.0%
5.1%US$1,000.00US$875.00n/a4
Sep ’23US$803.75
US$900.00
+12.0%
2.0%US$925.00US$875.00n/a4
Aug ’23US$764.07
US$875.00
+14.5%
3.5%US$900.00US$825.00n/a4
Jul ’23US$672.58
US$875.00
+30.1%
3.5%US$900.00US$825.00n/a4
Jun ’23US$693.82
US$875.00
+26.1%
3.5%US$900.00US$825.00n/a4
May ’23US$639.38
US$893.75
+39.8%
1.2%US$900.00US$875.00n/a4
Apr ’23US$658.23
US$893.75
+35.8%
1.2%US$900.00US$875.00n/a4
Mar ’23US$756.55
US$1,031.25
+36.3%
3.1%US$1,075.00US$1,000.00n/a4
Feb ’23US$789.95
US$1,041.67
+31.9%
3.0%US$1,075.00US$1,000.00n/a3
Jan ’23US$829.84
US$1,025.00
+23.5%
3.4%US$1,075.00US$1,000.00n/a3
Dec ’22US$785.23
US$1,025.00
+30.5%
3.4%US$1,075.00US$1,000.00n/a3
Nov ’22US$847.55
US$1,025.00
+20.9%
3.4%US$1,075.00US$1,000.00US$812.803
Oct ’22US$862.47
US$1,025.00
+18.8%
3.4%US$1,075.00US$1,000.00US$797.433
Sep ’22US$903.75
US$1,031.67
+14.2%
3.1%US$1,075.00US$1,000.00US$803.753
Aug ’22US$782.59
US$1,005.00
+28.4%
0.5%US$1,010.00US$1,000.00US$764.072
Jul ’22US$841.93
US$1,005.00
+19.4%
0.5%US$1,010.00US$1,000.00US$672.582
Jun ’22US$867.00
US$1,005.00
+15.9%
0.5%US$1,010.00US$1,000.00US$693.822
May ’22US$867.46
US$1,000.00
+15.3%
0%US$1,000.00US$1,000.00US$639.382
Apr ’22US$835.70
US$1,000.00
+19.7%
0%US$1,000.00US$1,000.00US$658.231
Mar ’22US$777.98
US$875.00
+12.5%
0%US$875.00US$875.00US$756.551

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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