NIO Inc.

NYSE:NIO Stock Report

Market Cap: US$9.8b

NIO Valuation

Is NIO undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of NIO when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: Insufficient data to calculate NIO's fair value for valuation analysis.

Significantly Below Fair Value: Insufficient data to calculate NIO's fair value for valuation analysis.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for NIO?

Key metric: As NIO is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for NIO. This is calculated by dividing NIO's market cap by their current revenue.
What is NIO's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio1x
SalesCN¥63.13b
Market CapCN¥71.01b

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does NIO's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for NIO vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average4.4x
XPEV XPeng
2.1x31.3%US$11.0b
VFS VinFast Auto
6.3x41.5%US$9.2b
LCID Lucid Group
8.8x43.9%US$6.5b
THO THOR Industries
0.6x5.0%US$6.1b
NIO NIO
1x23.3%US$9.8b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: NIO is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (1x) compared to the peer average (4.4x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does NIO's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Auto Industry?

16 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
GM General Motors
0.3x1.2%US$66.20b
F Ford Motor
0.2x0.7%US$45.31b
THO THOR Industries
0.6x5.0%US$6.14b
ZK ZEEKR Intelligent Technology Holding
0.6x23.7%US$5.78b
NIO 1.0xIndustry Avg. 1.0xNo. of Companies16PS048121620+
16 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: NIO is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (1x) compared to the US Auto industry average (1x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is NIO's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

NIO PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio1x
Fair PS Ratio1.2x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: NIO is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (1x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.2x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst NIO forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$4.31
US$6.50
+50.8%
29.7%US$12.52US$3.91n/a26
Nov ’25US$5.10
US$6.77
+32.7%
28.0%US$12.71US$3.99n/a26
Oct ’25US$7.03
US$6.72
-4.4%
29.4%US$12.90US$4.05n/a26
Sep ’25US$4.04
US$6.65
+64.7%
29.2%US$12.66US$4.05n/a25
Aug ’25US$4.06
US$6.81
+67.7%
29.4%US$12.54US$4.01n/a25
Jul ’25US$4.44
US$7.09
+59.7%
29.1%US$12.48US$4.00n/a27
Jun ’25US$5.39
US$7.38
+36.9%
31.2%US$14.28US$3.99n/a27
May ’25US$5.27
US$7.40
+40.3%
31.2%US$14.30US$4.00n/a27
Apr ’25US$4.64
US$7.67
+65.4%
28.1%US$14.34US$4.79n/a26
Mar ’25US$5.78
US$10.24
+77.2%
29.1%US$17.77US$5.01n/a27
Feb ’25US$5.71
US$10.57
+85.1%
26.1%US$17.88US$7.49n/a27
Jan ’25US$9.07
US$11.20
+23.5%
28.0%US$19.15US$7.50n/a25
Dec ’24US$7.15
US$13.32
+86.3%
29.9%US$22.39US$7.70n/a25
Nov ’24US$7.45
US$13.45
+80.5%
29.4%US$21.79US$7.49US$5.1025
Oct ’24US$9.04
US$13.81
+52.8%
27.5%US$21.82US$7.50US$7.0325
Sep ’24US$11.00
US$14.03
+27.6%
27.3%US$21.80US$7.52US$4.0426
Aug ’24US$14.63
US$12.06
-17.6%
31.7%US$21.00US$6.65US$4.0627
Jul ’24US$9.69
US$11.00
+13.5%
27.2%US$19.67US$6.59US$4.4427
Jun ’24US$7.54
US$13.70
+81.7%
25.0%US$24.19US$9.34US$5.3925
May ’24US$7.81
US$14.41
+84.5%
27.3%US$24.85US$9.59US$5.2725
Apr ’24US$10.51
US$15.18
+44.4%
30.1%US$26.14US$9.64US$4.6427
Mar ’24US$8.83
US$17.07
+93.3%
27.5%US$26.90US$10.00US$5.7827
Feb ’24US$12.10
US$18.48
+52.8%
25.6%US$28.91US$10.74US$5.7128
Jan ’24US$9.75
US$18.50
+89.7%
25.5%US$28.26US$10.50US$9.0728
Dec ’23US$12.09
US$18.66
+54.4%
28.7%US$34.00US$11.52US$7.1527
Nov ’23US$9.71
US$28.17
+190.1%
33.7%US$64.13US$14.06US$7.4525

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.

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