Stock Analysis

XPEL, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:XPEL) P/E Still Appears To Be Reasonable

NasdaqCM:XPEL
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With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 31.6x XPEL, Inc. (NASDAQ:XPEL) may be sending very bearish signals at the moment, given that almost half of all companies in the United States have P/E ratios under 16x and even P/E's lower than 9x are not unusual. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly elevated P/E.

With its earnings growth in positive territory compared to the declining earnings of most other companies, XPEL has been doing quite well of late. The P/E is probably high because investors think the company will continue to navigate the broader market headwinds better than most. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

Check out our latest analysis for XPEL

pe-multiple-vs-industry
NasdaqCM:XPEL Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry February 16th 2024
Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on XPEL will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

How Is XPEL's Growth Trending?

In order to justify its P/E ratio, XPEL would need to produce outstanding growth well in excess of the market.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 25% gain to the company's bottom line. Pleasingly, EPS has also lifted 193% in aggregate from three years ago, thanks to the last 12 months of growth. Accordingly, shareholders would have probably welcomed those medium-term rates of earnings growth.

Turning to the outlook, the next year should generate growth of 26% as estimated by the two analysts watching the company. With the market only predicted to deliver 13%, the company is positioned for a stronger earnings result.

In light of this, it's understandable that XPEL's P/E sits above the majority of other companies. Apparently shareholders aren't keen to offload something that is potentially eyeing a more prosperous future.

The Bottom Line On XPEL's P/E

It's argued the price-to-earnings ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

As we suspected, our examination of XPEL's analyst forecasts revealed that its superior earnings outlook is contributing to its high P/E. At this stage investors feel the potential for a deterioration in earnings isn't great enough to justify a lower P/E ratio. It's hard to see the share price falling strongly in the near future under these circumstances.

Many other vital risk factors can be found on the company's balance sheet. Take a look at our free balance sheet analysis for XPEL with six simple checks on some of these key factors.

You might be able to find a better investment than XPEL. If you want a selection of possible candidates, check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether XPEL is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

View the Free Analysis

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.