Stock Analysis

Li Auto Inc. (NASDAQ:LI) Might Not Be As Mispriced As It Looks

NasdaqGS:LI
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Li Auto Inc.'s (NASDAQ:LI) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 2.3x might make it look like a strong buy right now compared to the Auto industry in the United States, where around half of the companies have P/S ratios above 5.4x and even P/S above 11x are quite common. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so limited.

View our latest analysis for Li Auto

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NasdaqGS:LI Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry February 19th 2024

What Does Li Auto's P/S Mean For Shareholders?

With revenue growth that's superior to most other companies of late, Li Auto has been doing relatively well. One possibility is that the P/S ratio is low because investors think this strong revenue performance might be less impressive moving forward. If the company manages to stay the course, then investors should be rewarded with a share price that matches its revenue figures.

Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Li Auto will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

How Is Li Auto's Revenue Growth Trending?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, Li Auto would need to produce anemic growth that's substantially trailing the industry.

If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 161%. The latest three year period has also seen an incredible overall rise in revenue, aided by its incredible short-term performance. Accordingly, shareholders would have been over the moon with those medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to climb by 43% per year during the coming three years according to the analysts following the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to only expand by 30% per year, which is noticeably less attractive.

With this in consideration, we find it intriguing that Li Auto's P/S sits behind most of its industry peers. Apparently some shareholders are doubtful of the forecasts and have been accepting significantly lower selling prices.

The Key Takeaway

Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

Li Auto's analyst forecasts revealed that its superior revenue outlook isn't contributing to its P/S anywhere near as much as we would have predicted. When we see strong growth forecasts like this, we can only assume potential risks are what might be placing significant pressure on the P/S ratio. At least price risks look to be very low, but investors seem to think future revenues could see a lot of volatility.

We don't want to rain on the parade too much, but we did also find 1 warning sign for Li Auto that you need to be mindful of.

If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Li Auto is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.