Hesai Group Future Growth
Future criteria checks 5/6
Hesai Group is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 27.1% and 25.5% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 26.2% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 12.1% in 3 years.
Key information
27.1%
Earnings growth rate
26.21%
EPS growth rate
| Auto Components earnings growth | 32.8% |
| Revenue growth rate | 25.5% |
| Future return on equity | 12.07% |
| Analyst coverage | Good |
| Last updated | 05 May 2026 |
Recent future growth updates
Analysis Article • Nov 14
Earnings Beat: Hesai Group Just Beat Analyst Forecasts, And Analysts Have Been Updating Their Models
There's been a notable change in appetite for Hesai Group ( NASDAQ:HSAI ) shares in the week since its quarterly...Analysis Article • Nov 28
Hesai Group (NASDAQ:HSAI) Third-Quarter Results Just Came Out: Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting For Next Year
Shareholders will be ecstatic, with their stake up 63% over the past week following Hesai Group 's ( NASDAQ:HSAI...Recent updates
Narrative Update • May 01
HSAI: Future Profitability Hinges On Execution Of Spatial Intelligence Shift
Analysts have adjusted Hesai Group's fair value estimate to $25.22 from $24.03, reflecting updated assumptions on discount rate, revenue growth, profit margins, and a higher future P/E, informed by a mix of newly bullish initiations and a recent price target cut on the Street. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research around Hesai Group has been mixed.
Narrative Update • Apr 17
HSAI: New Supply Agreements And Partnerships Will Support Future Repricing
Analysts have trimmed their price target on Hesai Group to $30.36. This represents a small change that reflects slightly more conservative assumptions on growth and margins, partly balanced by fresh bullish initiations from several firms.Narrative Update • Apr 02
HSAI: Execution On New Supply Agreements Will Support Future Repricing
Narrative Update on Hesai Group Analysts have trimmed their fair value estimate for Hesai Group to about $30 from roughly $32, reflecting slightly lower revenue growth and margin assumptions. However, recent bullish initiations and an upwardly revised future P/E expectation keep the long term story in focus.
New Narrative • Mar 30
The First Real Lidar Winner
Something quietly shifted in the lidar space and most investors haven’t fully processed it yet. For years, lidar companies were grouped into the same bucket, high promise, heavy losses, uncertain adoption.Seeking Alpha • Mar 26
Hesai Group: Good Earnings Growth Outlook Ahead
Summary Hesai Group continues to grow shipments rapidly as the LiDAR market grows in size. A strong market position in China, and international growth potential through a partnership with Nvidia, create a good forward growth outlook for HSAI. HSAI's underlying profitability continues to improve through rapid operating leverage. I estimate HSAI stock to have 29% base scenario upside to $25.9, but such upside comes with uncertainty. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Narrative Update • Mar 19
HSAI: Lidar Capacity Expansion And Key Partnerships Will Support Future Execution
Analysts have adjusted their price target on Hesai Group to $40.43 from $40.30, citing updated assumptions that combine higher projected revenue growth with slightly lower profit margin expectations and a modestly reduced future P/E multiple. Analyst Commentary Recent research points to a constructive tone around Hesai Group, with bullish analysts highlighting what they view as an attractive balance between growth potential, execution, and current valuation assumptions.Narrative Update • Mar 04
HSAI: Bullish Product Roadmap Execution Will Support Future Repricing
Analysts have modestly lifted their price target on Hesai Group, reflecting a slightly higher fair value estimate, a tweaked discount rate and updated assumptions around revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E multiples following recent bullish Street research. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts point to a constructive view on Hesai Group's longer term revenue opportunity, which they see as supportive of a higher fair value range when paired with updated growth assumptions.Narrative Update • Feb 18
HSAI: Recent Bullish Coverage Will Support Confidence In Upcoming Execution Milestones
Analysts have revised their fair value estimate for Hesai Group to about $40.30 from roughly $35.88, reflecting updated assumptions on growth, margins and future P/E multiples following recent bullish initiations and Outperform ratings from the Street. Analyst Commentary Recent research coverage has leaned clearly positive, with bullish analysts pointing to a mix of growth potential, margin improvement and valuation support as key reasons for their constructive stance on Hesai Group.Narrative Update • Feb 04
HSAI: Outperform Initiation And Lidar Capacity Expansion Will Support Future Repricing
Analysts lifted their fair value estimate for Hesai Group from US$30.91 to US$31.81 per share, citing recently initiated positive coverage along with supporting assumptions for revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E as key drivers behind the updated price target. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts view the recently initiated positive coverage and updated fair value estimate as support for Hesai Group's execution assumptions on revenue growth and profit margins, even though specific financial outcomes are not disclosed.Analysis Article • Jan 23
Market Participants Recognise Hesai Group's (NASDAQ:HSAI) Revenues Pushing Shares 28% Higher
Hesai Group ( NASDAQ:HSAI ) shareholders have had their patience rewarded with a 28% share price jump in the last...Narrative Update • Jan 21
HSAI: Outperform Initiation Will Support Balanced View On Lidar Demand Potential
Analysts have slightly raised their fair value estimate for Hesai Group by about US$0.85 per share, linking this adjustment to updated assumptions around discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E, as well as fresh Street research that includes a new Outperform initiation and a US$23.50 price target from the sell side. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts point to the recent Outperform initiation and the US$23.50 price target as support for a more constructive view on Hesai Group's valuation, especially after the modest lift in fair value assumptions.Narrative Update • Jan 07
HSAI: Outperform Initiation Signals Confidence In Future Lidar Demand Trajectory
Analysts have lifted their price target on Hesai Group by about $0.23, citing refreshed assumptions around fair value, discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E after recent Street research, including a new Outperform initiation with a $23.50 target. Analyst Commentary Analysts highlighting the new Outperform initiation and US$23.50 target are framing their views around how current assumptions on fair value, discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E stack up against execution risks.Narrative Update • Dec 18
HSAI: Accelerating Global Lidar Adoption Will Drive Multiyear Overseas Volume Expansion
Analysts have modestly raised their price target on Hesai Group to approximately $30 per share from about $29.80, citing expectations for accelerating LiDAR adoption in China in the near term and globally by 2026 to 2027 as key drivers of long term volume and earnings growth. Analyst Commentary Street research has highlighted both significant upside potential and emerging execution risks for Hesai Group as LiDAR adoption accelerates in China and, over time, across global markets.Narrative Update • Dec 04
HSAI: Global Lidar Adoption Will Drive Multiyear Overseas Volume Expansion
Analysts slightly raised their price target on Hesai Group to $36.00 from $26.30, reflecting growing confidence in accelerating LiDAR adoption and in the company's expanding overseas volume potential. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research highlights growing institutional interest in Hesai Group as a leveraged play on global LiDAR penetration, particularly in advanced driver assistance systems and autonomous driving applications.Analysis Article • Nov 20
What You Can Learn From Hesai Group's (NASDAQ:HSAI) P/S After Its 29% Share Price Crash
Hesai Group ( NASDAQ:HSAI ) shareholders that were waiting for something to happen have been dealt a blow with a 29...Narrative Update • Nov 17
HSAI: Global Supply Chain Integration Will Drive Market Share Expansion
The analyst consensus price target for Hesai Group has been revised down from $30.43 to $29.90, as analysts balanced slightly lower revenue growth outlooks with continued optimism for expanding market adoption and profit margins. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts maintain a positive outlook on Hesai Group's prospects, highlighting strong growth drivers and potential market gains that could support higher valuations.Analysis Article • Nov 14
Earnings Beat: Hesai Group Just Beat Analyst Forecasts, And Analysts Have Been Updating Their Models
There's been a notable change in appetite for Hesai Group ( NASDAQ:HSAI ) shares in the week since its quarterly...Narrative Update • Nov 02
HSAI: Global Demand For ADAS Technology Will Drive Long-Term Upside
Hesai Group’s analyst price target has been raised modestly, reflecting a slight uptick from $30.36 to $30.43 as analysts cite strengthening LiDAR adoption trends and increased confidence in future growth prospects. Analyst Commentary Recent research from major financial institutions highlights both optimism and caution regarding Hesai Group’s future performance, with particular focus on LiDAR adoption, global market expansion, and forward-looking earnings projections.Narrative Update • Oct 18
LiDAR And ADAS Expansion Will Broaden Global Reach
Analysts have raised their price target for Hesai Group from $29.62 to $30.36 per share, citing expectations for accelerating LiDAR adoption and improving profitability. Analyst Commentary Recent analyst activity around Hesai Group highlights a generally optimistic outlook, with several firms raising their price targets and rating the stock a Buy.Narrative Update • Oct 04
LiDAR And ADAS Expansion Will Broaden Global Reach
Hesai Group’s analyst price target has increased from $29.09 to $29.62. Analysts cite robust earnings forecasts and leadership in LiDAR adoption as key drivers for the revision.Narrative Update • Sep 18
LiDAR And ADAS Expansion Will Broaden Global Reach
Hesai Group’s consensus price target was modestly raised to $29.09 as analysts highlight robust order wins—including a key deal with Mercedes-Benz—increased ADAS LiDAR adoption, and new market opportunities, all underpinning stronger earnings outlooks. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts cite strong order wins from both domestic and international OEMs, including a notable breakthrough with Mercedes-Benz, as key catalysts for future growth.Analysis Article • Aug 29
Hesai Group (NASDAQ:HSAI) Stocks Shoot Up 31% But Its P/S Still Looks Reasonable
Despite an already strong run, Hesai Group ( NASDAQ:HSAI ) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 31% in the last...Narrative Update • Aug 19
LiDAR And ADAS Expansion Will Broaden Global Reach
Hesai Group’s analyst price target was raised to $27.45, reflecting increased confidence driven by stronger earnings forecasts, accelerating LiDAR adoption, and anticipated margin improvements from overseas expansion and new revenue streams. Analyst Commentary Raised 2025 earnings forecast by 10% and 2026-27 earnings by 2% following strong Q2 results Growing LiDAR adoption in China resulting in ongoing market share gains Anticipation of margin enhancement from increasing overseas projects Expected revenue growth from robotaxi and smart home appliance segments beginning in 2026 Bullish analysts cite positive post-earnings momentum and expanded addressable market as justification for higher price targets What's in the News Hesai will unveil ETX, a new automotive-grade ultra-long-range lidar for L3 autonomous driving, at IAA Mobility 2025, featuring proprietary photon vector technology and compact behind-the-windshield integration.Analysis Article • Jun 27
Are Investors Undervaluing Hesai Group (NASDAQ:HSAI) By 38%?
Key Insights Hesai Group's estimated fair value is US$37.44 based on 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity Hesai Group's...Analysis Article • May 27
Hesai Group (NASDAQ:HSAI) Looks Just Right With A 40% Price Jump
Hesai Group ( NASDAQ:HSAI ) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 40% after a shaky period beforehand...
New Narrative • Apr 24
LiDAR And ADAS Expansion Will Broaden Global Reach
Expanding global presence and design wins, including with a top European OEM, could significantly diversify and boost revenue streams.Analysis Article • Apr 11
Hesai Group (NASDAQ:HSAI) Stocks Pounded By 48% But Not Lagging Industry On Growth Or Pricing
Hesai Group ( NASDAQ:HSAI ) shares have had a horrible month, losing 48% after a relatively good period beforehand. The...Analysis Article • Mar 30
Is Now The Time To Look At Buying Hesai Group (NASDAQ:HSAI)?
Hesai Group ( NASDAQ:HSAI ), might not be a large cap stock, but it received a lot of attention from a substantial...Seeking Alpha • Mar 17
Hesai's Prominence Has Reached Full Value
Summary Hesai's technological advancements and low pricing have positioned it as a dominant player in the LiDAR market, particularly in the ADAS sector. Despite legal and geopolitical concerns, Hesai's recent global deal with Mercedes and projected profitability for 2025 highlight its growth potential. I rate Hesai as a hold at $19.80, noting potential buying opportunities if the stock declines further and considering the ADR investment structure. Ouster remains undervalued compared to Hesai, with a target price of $23, suggesting significant upside potential if revenue growth and profitability are achieved. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaAnalysis Article • Feb 22
Market Participants Recognise Hesai Group's (NASDAQ:HSAI) Revenues Pushing Shares 32% Higher
Despite an already strong run, Hesai Group ( NASDAQ:HSAI ) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 32% in the last...Analysis Article • Jan 07
Subdued Growth No Barrier To Hesai Group (NASDAQ:HSAI) With Shares Advancing 42%
Despite an already strong run, Hesai Group ( NASDAQ:HSAI ) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 42% in the last...Analysis Article • Dec 23
Hesai Group (NASDAQ:HSAI) Shares Could Be 24% Below Their Intrinsic Value Estimate
Key Insights The projected fair value for Hesai Group is US$16.22 based on 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity Current...Analysis Article • Nov 28
Hesai Group (NASDAQ:HSAI) Third-Quarter Results Just Came Out: Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting For Next Year
Shareholders will be ecstatic, with their stake up 63% over the past week following Hesai Group 's ( NASDAQ:HSAI...Seeking Alpha • Oct 07
Hesai's Market Share: A Golden Investment Opportunity
Summary Hesai, the market leader in LiDAR, dominates with a 37% market share and exclusive contracts with 19 OEMs, including top Chinese EV makers. The LiDAR market is expected to grow at a 39% CAGR, reaching $21 billion by 2029. Hesai's competitive advantages include scale, cost efficiency, and advanced technology, give a potential 400% upside to share value. Despite competition from camera and radar systems, Hesai's low-cost, high-performance LiDAR is likely to remain essential for level 3 autonomous systems. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaAnalysis Article • Sep 28
Revenues Tell The Story For Hesai Group (NASDAQ:HSAI) As Its Stock Soars 25%
Hesai Group ( NASDAQ:HSAI ) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 25% after a shaky period beforehand...Analysis Article • Aug 22
US$7.15: That's What Analysts Think Hesai Group (NASDAQ:HSAI) Is Worth After Its Latest Results
Shareholders of Hesai Group ( NASDAQ:HSAI ) will be pleased this week, given that the stock price is up 13% to US$4.33...Seeking Alpha • Aug 20
Hesai: Results Are Mixed, With A Negative Top-Line Surprise And Bottom-Line Beat
Summary Hesai Group reported narrower operating losses and a better-than-expected bottom-line performance in Q2 2024; the consensus forecasts point to Hesai turning profitable in the third quarter. On the flip side, Hesai's second quarter revenue missed expectations, and a delay in some of its customers' new vehicle launches is likely to hurt its Q3 top line. My Hold rating for Hesai Group is left unchanged, considering its mixed results and prospects. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaAnalysis Article • Jun 21
Revenues Tell The Story For Hesai Group (NASDAQ:HSAI)
When you see that almost half of the companies in the Auto Components industry in the United States have price-to-sales...Analysis Article • May 22
Hesai Group (NASDAQ:HSAI) Just Reported And Analysts Have Been Cutting Their Estimates
It's been a sad week for Hesai Group ( NASDAQ:HSAI ), who've watched their investment drop 15% to US$4.53 in the week...Seeking Alpha • Apr 10
Hesai Group: Watch Revenue Guidance And Geopolitical Factors
Summary Hesai Group's top-line guidance suggests that the weakness associated with the robotaxi segment will be offset by the ADAS segment's strength this year. The company's U.S. market business outlook is complicated by geopolitical factors, as U.S. automotive OEMs might become increasingly cautious about sourcing supplies from Chinese businesses considering U.S.-China tensions. A Hold rating for Hesai Group is maintained following an evaluation of the company's financial prospects and geopolitical issues. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaAnalysis Article • Apr 04
An Intrinsic Calculation For Hesai Group (NASDAQ:HSAI) Suggests It's 28% Undervalued
Key Insights The projected fair value for Hesai Group is US$7.19 based on 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity Hesai...Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts
| Date | Revenue | Earnings | Free Cash Flow | Cash from Op | Avg. No. Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/31/2028 | 8,051 | 1,354 | 933 | 1,159 | 18 |
| 12/31/2027 | 6,129 | 939 | 551 | 811 | 23 |
| 12/31/2026 | 4,405 | 568 | 330 | 569 | 21 |
| 12/31/2025 | 3,028 | 436 | -188 | 117 | N/A |
| 9/30/2025 | 2,747 | 430 | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 6/30/2025 | 2,491 | 103 | -94 | 171 | N/A |
| 3/31/2025 | 2,243 | -13 | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 12/31/2024 | 2,077 | -102 | -208 | 64 | N/A |
| 9/30/2024 | 1,919 | -390 | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 6/30/2024 | 1,825 | -462 | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 3/31/2024 | 1,806 | -464 | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 12/31/2023 | 1,877 | -476 | -357 | 57 | N/A |
| 9/30/2023 | 1,725 | -471 | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 6/30/2023 | 1,613 | -613 | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 3/31/2023 | 1,384 | -804 | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 12/31/2022 | 1,203 | -747 | -936 | -696 | N/A |
| 9/30/2022 | 1,055 | -686 | -937 | -620 | N/A |
| 6/30/2022 | 945 | -484 | -777 | -439 | N/A |
| 3/31/2022 | 852 | -1,368 | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 12/31/2021 | 721 | -2,456 | -510 | -228 | N/A |
| 9/30/2021 | 622 | -2,387 | -332 | -121 | N/A |
| 6/30/2021 | 569 | -2,318 | -481 | -342 | N/A |
| 3/31/2021 | 492 | -1,213 | -455 | -347 | N/A |
| 12/31/2020 | 416 | -107 | -429 | -352 | N/A |
| 12/31/2019 | 348 | -175 | 7 | 46 | N/A |
Analyst Future Growth Forecasts
Earnings vs Savings Rate: HSAI's forecast earnings growth (27.1% per year) is above the savings rate (3.5%).
Earnings vs Market: HSAI's earnings (27.1% per year) are forecast to grow faster than the US market (16.4% per year).
High Growth Earnings: HSAI's earnings are expected to grow significantly over the next 3 years.
Revenue vs Market: HSAI's revenue (25.5% per year) is forecast to grow faster than the US market (11.4% per year).
High Growth Revenue: HSAI's revenue (25.5% per year) is forecast to grow faster than 20% per year.
Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts
Future Return on Equity
Future ROE: HSAI's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (12.1%).
Discover growth companies
Company Analysis and Financial Data Status
| Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
|---|---|
| Company Analysis | 2026/05/07 10:49 |
| End of Day Share Price | 2026/05/07 00:00 |
| Earnings | 2025/12/31 |
| Annual Earnings | 2025/12/31 |
Data Sources
The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.
| Package | Data | Timeframe | Example US Source * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Company Financials | 10 years |
| |
| Analyst Consensus Estimates | +3 years |
|
|
| Market Prices | 30 years |
| |
| Ownership | 10 years |
| |
| Management | 10 years |
| |
| Key Developments | 10 years |
|
* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.
Analysis Model and Snowflake
Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.
Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.
Industry and Sector Metrics
Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.
Analyst Sources
Hesai Group is covered by 32 analysts. 23 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.
| Analyst | Institution |
|---|---|
| Dien Wang | Bernstein |
| Yawen Tan | BNP Paribas |
| Yu Jie Lo | BofA Global Research |