China Airlines Future Growth

Future criteria checks 1/6

China Airlines's revenue is forecast to decline at 0.5% per annum while its annual earnings are expected to grow at 3.6% per year. EPS is expected to grow by 3.4% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 8.7% in 3 years.

Key information

3.6%

Earnings growth rate

3.4%

EPS growth rate

Airlines earnings growth35.0%
Revenue growth rate-0.5%
Future return on equity8.7%
Analyst coverage

Good

Last updated05 Dec 2024

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

Shareholders Will Be Pleased With The Quality of China Airlines' (TWSE:2610) Earnings

Nov 26
Shareholders Will Be Pleased With The Quality of China Airlines' (TWSE:2610) Earnings

Investors Aren't Buying China Airlines, Ltd.'s (TWSE:2610) Earnings

Oct 06
Investors Aren't Buying China Airlines, Ltd.'s (TWSE:2610) Earnings

These 4 Measures Indicate That China Airlines (TWSE:2610) Is Using Debt Reasonably Well

Sep 17
These 4 Measures Indicate That China Airlines (TWSE:2610) Is Using Debt Reasonably Well

Returns On Capital Are Showing Encouraging Signs At China Airlines (TWSE:2610)

Aug 30
Returns On Capital Are Showing Encouraging Signs At China Airlines (TWSE:2610)

China Airlines (TWSE:2610) Is Paying Out A Larger Dividend Than Last Year

Jul 12
China Airlines (TWSE:2610) Is Paying Out A Larger Dividend Than Last Year

China Airlines' (TWSE:2610) Dividend Will Be Increased To NT$0.6902

Jun 23
China Airlines' (TWSE:2610) Dividend Will Be Increased To NT$0.6902

We Think China Airlines (TWSE:2610) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt

May 28
We Think China Airlines (TWSE:2610) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt

We Think China Airlines' (TWSE:2610) Profit Is Only A Baseline For What They Can Achieve

May 27
We Think China Airlines' (TWSE:2610) Profit Is Only A Baseline For What They Can Achieve

Returns On Capital At China Airlines (TWSE:2610) Have Stalled

Feb 26
Returns On Capital At China Airlines (TWSE:2610) Have Stalled

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

TWSE:2610 - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (TWD Millions)
DateRevenueEarningsFree Cash FlowCash from OpAvg. No. Analysts
12/31/2026186,468N/AN/AN/A1
12/31/2025202,98711,97567,98549,1366
12/31/2024202,03813,83151,51944,0945
9/30/2024198,17910,29521,88947,876N/A
6/30/2024193,8458,76416,51946,026N/A
3/31/2024190,7698,61222,19151,669N/A
12/31/2023184,8176,81926,66155,846N/A
9/30/2023176,5066,13933,43464,618N/A
6/30/2023166,5223,96737,73964,304N/A
3/31/2023156,1811,09327,88751,819N/A
12/31/2022150,7222,86019,88646,849N/A
9/30/2022158,95011,44330,34548,835N/A
6/30/2022155,72614,23434,33050,769N/A
3/31/2022148,24713,47236,24951,234N/A
12/31/2021138,8419,38034,95649,885N/A
9/30/2021121,4413,71713,58035,077N/A
6/30/2021113,579929,74429,871N/A
3/31/2021110,5212,8947,01224,261N/A
12/31/2020115,251140-3,0529,723N/A
9/30/2020127,626-2,8752,6069,560N/A
6/30/2020144,019-1,827-2,22113,243N/A
3/31/2020160,596-4,7292,90322,083N/A
12/31/2019168,444-1,20018,37937,527N/A
9/30/2019170,80617416,20738,264N/A
6/30/2019172,99891520,47735,587N/A
3/31/2019171,3821,42118,06433,033N/A
12/31/2018170,7121,7907,24327,027N/A
9/30/2018167,8342,5252,01125,645N/A
6/30/2018163,1804,396N/A28,032N/A
3/31/2018160,0606,094N/A27,812N/A
12/31/2017156,1222,208N/A28,547N/A
9/30/2017150,188-284N/A27,742N/A
6/30/2017146,198-2,722N/A21,583N/A
3/31/2017141,877-4,653N/A17,876N/A
12/31/2016141,079572N/A17,636N/A
9/30/2016140,5692,471N/A18,597N/A
6/30/2016141,1054,091N/A25,072N/A
3/31/2016142,8915,377N/A27,327N/A
12/31/2015145,0565,764N/A31,791N/A
9/30/2015148,0176,931N/A30,867N/A
6/30/2015151,1725,975N/A23,796N/A
3/31/2015152,4993,825N/A22,706N/A
12/31/2014150,582-751N/A16,909N/A
9/30/2014149,534-4,062N/A15,536N/A
6/30/2014146,634-3,810N/A17,730N/A
3/31/2014143,874-2,894N/A21,791N/A
12/31/2013141,703-1,274N/A21,486N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: 2610's forecast earnings growth (3.6% per year) is above the savings rate (1.1%).

Earnings vs Market: 2610's earnings (3.6% per year) are forecast to grow slower than the TW market (6.6% per year).

High Growth Earnings: 2610's earnings are forecast to grow, but not significantly.

Revenue vs Market: 2610's revenue is expected to decline over the next 3 years (-0.5% per year).

High Growth Revenue: 2610's revenue is forecast to decline over the next 3 years (-0.5% per year).


Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts


Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: 2610's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (8.7%).


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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/18 11:07
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/18 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

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Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

China Airlines, Ltd. is covered by 17 analysts. 6 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Nathan GeeBofA Global Research
Kaseedit ChoonnawatCitigroup Inc
Kuan-Chun ChenCLSA