Stock Analysis

China Airlines (TWSE:2610) Is Paying Out A Larger Dividend Than Last Year

TWSE:2610
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The board of China Airlines, Ltd. (TWSE:2610) has announced that it will be paying its dividend of NT$0.6901 on the 21st of August, an increased payment from last year's comparable dividend. The payment will take the dividend yield to 2.9%, which is in line with the average for the industry.

Check out our latest analysis for China Airlines

China Airlines' Payment Has Solid Earnings Coverage

While it is always good to see a solid dividend yield, we should also consider whether the payment is feasible. Prior to this announcement, China Airlines' dividend was comfortably covered by both cash flow and earnings. This means that a large portion of its earnings are being retained to grow the business.

Looking forward, earnings per share is forecast to fall by 39.6% over the next year. However, if the dividend continues along recent trends, we estimate the payout ratio could reach 88%, meaning that most of the company's earnings are being paid out to shareholders.

historic-dividend
TWSE:2610 Historic Dividend July 12th 2024

China Airlines' Dividend Has Lacked Consistency

Looking back, China Airlines' dividend hasn't been particularly consistent. This suggests that the dividend might not be the most reliable. Since 2016, the annual payment back then was NT$0.459, compared to the most recent full-year payment of NT$0.69. This works out to be a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 5.2% a year over that time. We have seen cuts in the past, so while the growth looks promising we would be a little bit cautious about its track record.

The Dividend Looks Likely To Grow

With a relatively unstable dividend, it's even more important to evaluate if earnings per share is growing, which could point to a growing dividend in the future. China Airlines has seen EPS rising for the last five years, at 40% per annum. The company doesn't have any problems growing, despite returning a lot of capital to shareholders, which is a very nice combination for a dividend stock to have.

China Airlines Looks Like A Great Dividend Stock

In summary, it is always positive to see the dividend being increased, and we are particularly pleased with its overall sustainability. The company is generating plenty of cash, and the earnings also quite easily cover the distributions. If earnings do fall over the next 12 months, the dividend could be buffeted a little bit, but we don't think it should cause too much of a problem in the long term. All in all, this checks a lot of the boxes we look for when choosing an income stock.

It's important to note that companies having a consistent dividend policy will generate greater investor confidence than those having an erratic one. Meanwhile, despite the importance of dividend payments, they are not the only factors our readers should know when assessing a company. Just as an example, we've come across 3 warning signs for China Airlines you should be aware of, and 1 of them doesn't sit too well with us. Looking for more high-yielding dividend ideas? Try our collection of strong dividend payers.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.