Stock Analysis

Coxon Precise Industrial Co., Ltd (TWSE:3607) Stock Catapults 27% Though Its Price And Business Still Lag The Industry

TWSE:3607
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Coxon Precise Industrial Co., Ltd (TWSE:3607) shareholders would be excited to see that the share price has had a great month, posting a 27% gain and recovering from prior weakness. Looking back a bit further, it's encouraging to see the stock is up 31% in the last year.

Although its price has surged higher, Coxon Precise Industrial's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 1x might still make it look like a buy right now compared to the Electronic industry in Taiwan, where around half of the companies have P/S ratios above 1.8x and even P/S above 4x are quite common. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's limited.

See our latest analysis for Coxon Precise Industrial

ps-multiple-vs-industry
TWSE:3607 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry July 12th 2024

How Coxon Precise Industrial Has Been Performing

For instance, Coxon Precise Industrial's receding revenue in recent times would have to be some food for thought. One possibility is that the P/S is low because investors think the company won't do enough to avoid underperforming the broader industry in the near future. Those who are bullish on Coxon Precise Industrial will be hoping that this isn't the case so that they can pick up the stock at a lower valuation.

We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Coxon Precise Industrial's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

Do Revenue Forecasts Match The Low P/S Ratio?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as low as Coxon Precise Industrial's is when the company's growth is on track to lag the industry.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 5.3% decrease to the company's top line. As a result, revenue from three years ago have also fallen 30% overall. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been undesirable for the company.

Comparing that to the industry, which is predicted to deliver 17% growth in the next 12 months, the company's downward momentum based on recent medium-term revenue results is a sobering picture.

With this in mind, we understand why Coxon Precise Industrial's P/S is lower than most of its industry peers. However, we think shrinking revenues are unlikely to lead to a stable P/S over the longer term, which could set up shareholders for future disappointment. There's potential for the P/S to fall to even lower levels if the company doesn't improve its top-line growth.

The Bottom Line On Coxon Precise Industrial's P/S

Despite Coxon Precise Industrial's share price climbing recently, its P/S still lags most other companies. It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

As we suspected, our examination of Coxon Precise Industrial revealed its shrinking revenue over the medium-term is contributing to its low P/S, given the industry is set to grow. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/S as they concede future revenue probably won't provide any pleasant surprises either. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, it's hard to see the share price moving strongly in either direction in the near future under these circumstances.

Before you settle on your opinion, we've discovered 2 warning signs for Coxon Precise Industrial (1 is a bit unpleasant!) that you should be aware of.

If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.