Stock Analysis

Wistron Corporation (TWSE:3231) Full-Year Results: Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting For This Year

TWSE:3231
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Wistron Corporation (TWSE:3231) last week reported its latest yearly results, which makes it a good time for investors to dive in and see if the business is performing in line with expectations. Results were roughly in line with estimates, with revenues of NT$867b and statutory earnings per share of NT$4.08. Earnings are an important time for investors, as they can track a company's performance, look at what the analysts are forecasting for next year, and see if there's been a change in sentiment towards the company. Readers will be glad to know we've aggregated the latest statutory forecasts to see whether the analysts have changed their mind on Wistron after the latest results.

View our latest analysis for Wistron

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TWSE:3231 Earnings and Revenue Growth March 14th 2024

Taking into account the latest results, the most recent consensus for Wistron from ten analysts is for revenues of NT$974.9b in 2024. If met, it would imply a notable 12% increase on its revenue over the past 12 months. Statutory earnings per share are predicted to surge 63% to NT$6.50. Before this earnings report, the analysts had been forecasting revenues of NT$998.3b and earnings per share (EPS) of NT$6.46 in 2024. So it looks like the analysts have become a bit less optimistic after the latest results announcement, with revenues expected to fall even as the company is supposed to maintain EPS.

The consensus has reconfirmed its price target of NT$144, showing that the analysts don't expect weaker revenue expectations next year to have a material impact on Wistron's market value. It could also be instructive to look at the range of analyst estimates, to evaluate how different the outlier opinions are from the mean. There are some variant perceptions on Wistron, with the most bullish analyst valuing it at NT$176 and the most bearish at NT$118 per share. There are definitely some different views on the stock, but the range of estimates is not wide enough as to imply that the situation is unforecastable, in our view.

Another way we can view these estimates is in the context of the bigger picture, such as how the forecasts stack up against past performance, and whether forecasts are more or less bullish relative to other companies in the industry. The analysts are definitely expecting Wistron's growth to accelerate, with the forecast 12% annualised growth to the end of 2024 ranking favourably alongside historical growth of 1.6% per annum over the past five years. By contrast, our data suggests that other companies (with analyst coverage) in a similar industry are forecast to grow their revenue at 16% per year. So it's clear that despite the acceleration in growth, Wistron is expected to grow meaningfully slower than the industry average.

The Bottom Line

The most obvious conclusion is that there's been no major change in the business' prospects in recent times, with the analysts holding their earnings forecasts steady, in line with previous estimates. Unfortunately, they also downgraded their revenue estimates, and our data indicates underperformance compared to the wider industry. Even so, earnings per share are more important to the intrinsic value of the business. Even so, earnings per share are more important to the intrinsic value of the business. There was no real change to the consensus price target, suggesting that the intrinsic value of the business has not undergone any major changes with the latest estimates.

Following on from that line of thought, we think that the long-term prospects of the business are much more relevant than next year's earnings. At Simply Wall St, we have a full range of analyst estimates for Wistron going out to 2026, and you can see them free on our platform here..

It is also worth noting that we have found 1 warning sign for Wistron that you need to take into consideration.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.