Stock Analysis

Tong Hsing Electronic Industries, Ltd.'s (TPE:6271) Stock Been Rising But Financials Look Weak: Should Shareholders Be Worried?

TWSE:6271
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Tong Hsing Electronic Industries' (TPE:6271) stock up by 6.5% over the past three months. However, its weak financial performance indicators makes us a bit doubtful if that trend could continue. Particularly, we will be paying attention to Tong Hsing Electronic Industries' ROE today.

Return on Equity or ROE is a test of how effectively a company is growing its value and managing investors’ money. In simpler terms, it measures the profitability of a company in relation to shareholder's equity.

View our latest analysis for Tong Hsing Electronic Industries

How Is ROE Calculated?

The formula for return on equity is:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Tong Hsing Electronic Industries is:

5.8% = NT$1.2b ÷ NT$21b (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2020).

The 'return' is the profit over the last twelve months. So, this means that for every NT$1 of its shareholder's investments, the company generates a profit of NT$0.06.

What Is The Relationship Between ROE And Earnings Growth?

So far, we've learned that ROE is a measure of a company's profitability. Based on how much of its profits the company chooses to reinvest or "retain", we are then able to evaluate a company's future ability to generate profits. Assuming everything else remains unchanged, the higher the ROE and profit retention, the higher the growth rate of a company compared to companies that don't necessarily bear these characteristics.

A Side By Side comparison of Tong Hsing Electronic Industries' Earnings Growth And 5.8% ROE

At first glance, Tong Hsing Electronic Industries' ROE doesn't look very promising. We then compared the company's ROE to the broader industry and were disappointed to see that the ROE is lower than the industry average of 9.9%. Given the circumstances, the significant decline in net income by 2.1% seen by Tong Hsing Electronic Industries over the last five years is not surprising. However, there could also be other factors causing the earnings to decline. For instance, the company has a very high payout ratio, or is faced with competitive pressures.

However, when we compared Tong Hsing Electronic Industries' growth with the industry we found that while the company's earnings have been shrinking, the industry has seen an earnings growth of 9.2% in the same period. This is quite worrisome.

past-earnings-growth
TSEC:6271 Past Earnings Growth November 24th 2020

The basis for attaching value to a company is, to a great extent, tied to its earnings growth. It’s important for an investor to know whether the market has priced in the company's expected earnings growth (or decline). By doing so, they will have an idea if the stock is headed into clear blue waters or if swampy waters await. What is 6271 worth today? The intrinsic value infographic in our free research report helps visualize whether 6271 is currently mispriced by the market.

Is Tong Hsing Electronic Industries Making Efficient Use Of Its Profits?

Tong Hsing Electronic Industries' declining earnings is not surprising given how the company is spending most of its profits in paying dividends, judging by its three-year median payout ratio of 97% (or a retention ratio of 2.7%). The business is only left with a small pool of capital to reinvest - A vicious cycle that doesn't benefit the company in the long-run.

In addition, Tong Hsing Electronic Industries has been paying dividends over a period of at least ten years suggesting that keeping up dividend payments is way more important to the management even if it comes at the cost of business growth. Existing analyst estimates suggest that the company's future payout ratio is expected to drop to 69% over the next three years. The fact that the company's ROE is expected to rise to 12% over the same period is explained by the drop in the payout ratio.

Conclusion

Overall, we would be extremely cautious before making any decision on Tong Hsing Electronic Industries. Particularly, its ROE is a huge disappointment, not to mention its lack of proper reinvestment into the business. As a result its earnings growth has also been quite disappointing. With that said, we studied the latest analyst forecasts and found that while the company has shrunk its earnings in the past, analysts expect its earnings to grow in the future. To know more about the latest analysts predictions for the company, check out this visualization of analyst forecasts for the company.

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