Stock Analysis

Is EDOM Technology (TPE:3048) Using Too Much Debt?

TWSE:3048
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Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We can see that EDOM Technology Co., Ltd. (TPE:3048) does use debt in its business. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

See our latest analysis for EDOM Technology

How Much Debt Does EDOM Technology Carry?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of September 2020 EDOM Technology had NT$6.95b of debt, an increase on NT$5.70b, over one year. However, it also had NT$1.54b in cash, and so its net debt is NT$5.41b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
TSEC:3048 Debt to Equity History December 21st 2020

How Healthy Is EDOM Technology's Balance Sheet?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that EDOM Technology had liabilities of NT$15.5b falling due within a year, and liabilities of NT$1.05b due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had NT$1.54b in cash and NT$10.2b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities total NT$4.84b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

This deficit is considerable relative to its market capitalization of NT$5.11b, so it does suggest shareholders should keep an eye on EDOM Technology's use of debt. Should its lenders demand that it shore up the balance sheet, shareholders would likely face severe dilution.

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

EDOM Technology has a debt to EBITDA ratio of 4.2 and its EBIT covered its interest expense 2.6 times. Taken together this implies that, while we wouldn't want to see debt levels rise, we think it can handle its current leverage. However, one redeeming factor is that EDOM Technology grew its EBIT at 18% over the last 12 months, boosting its ability to handle its debt. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since EDOM Technology will need earnings to service that debt. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. Considering the last three years, EDOM Technology actually recorded a cash outflow, overall. Debt is usually more expensive, and almost always more risky in the hands of a company with negative free cash flow. Shareholders ought to hope for an improvement.

Our View

To be frank both EDOM Technology's interest cover and its track record of converting EBIT to free cash flow make us rather uncomfortable with its debt levels. But on the bright side, its EBIT growth rate is a good sign, and makes us more optimistic. Overall, we think it's fair to say that EDOM Technology has enough debt that there are some real risks around the balance sheet. If all goes well, that should boost returns, but on the flip side, the risk of permanent capital loss is elevated by the debt. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For instance, we've identified 4 warning signs for EDOM Technology (2 are a bit unpleasant) you should be aware of.

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

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