Stock Analysis

Individual investors invested in Groundhog Inc. (TWSE:6906) copped the brunt of last week's NT$721m market cap decline

TWSE:6906
Source: Shutterstock

Key Insights

  • Groundhog's significant individual investors ownership suggests that the key decisions are influenced by shareholders from the larger public
  • A total of 7 investors have a majority stake in the company with 51% ownership
  • 17% of Groundhog is held by insiders

To get a sense of who is truly in control of Groundhog Inc. (TWSE:6906), it is important to understand the ownership structure of the business. And the group that holds the biggest piece of the pie are individual investors with 42% ownership. In other words, the group stands to gain the most (or lose the most) from their investment into the company.

As market cap fell to NT$5.0b last week, individual investors would have faced the highest losses than any other shareholder groups of the company.

In the chart below, we zoom in on the different ownership groups of Groundhog.

Check out our latest analysis for Groundhog

ownership-breakdown
TWSE:6906 Ownership Breakdown December 18th 2024

What Does The Institutional Ownership Tell Us About Groundhog?

Institutions typically measure themselves against a benchmark when reporting to their own investors, so they often become more enthusiastic about a stock once it's included in a major index. We would expect most companies to have some institutions on the register, especially if they are growing.

Institutions have a very small stake in Groundhog. That indicates that the company is on the radar of some funds, but it isn't particularly popular with professional investors at the moment. If the company is growing earnings, that may indicate that it is just beginning to catch the attention of these deep-pocketed investors. It is not uncommon to see a big share price rise if multiple institutional investors are trying to buy into a stock at the same time. So check out the historic earnings trajectory, below, but keep in mind it's the future that counts most.

earnings-and-revenue-growth
TWSE:6906 Earnings and Revenue Growth December 18th 2024

Groundhog is not owned by hedge funds. The company's largest shareholder is Fanrui Investment Co., Ltd., with ownership of 16%. For context, the second largest shareholder holds about 11% of the shares outstanding, followed by an ownership of 7.2% by the third-largest shareholder. Chiann Liu, who is the third-largest shareholder, also happens to hold the title of Member of the Board of Directors. In addition, we found that Dagang Qiu, the CEO has 3.4% of the shares allocated to their name.

We did some more digging and found that 7 of the top shareholders account for roughly 51% of the register, implying that along with larger shareholders, there are a few smaller shareholders, thereby balancing out each others interests somewhat.

Researching institutional ownership is a good way to gauge and filter a stock's expected performance. The same can be achieved by studying analyst sentiments. While there is some analyst coverage, the company is probably not widely covered. So it could gain more attention, down the track.

Insider Ownership Of Groundhog

The definition of an insider can differ slightly between different countries, but members of the board of directors always count. Company management run the business, but the CEO will answer to the board, even if he or she is a member of it.

I generally consider insider ownership to be a good thing. However, on some occasions it makes it more difficult for other shareholders to hold the board accountable for decisions.

Our information suggests that insiders maintain a significant holding in Groundhog Inc.. Insiders own NT$843m worth of shares in the NT$5.0b company. It is great to see insiders so invested in the business. It might be worth checking if those insiders have been buying recently.

General Public Ownership

The general public, who are usually individual investors, hold a 42% stake in Groundhog. While this group can't necessarily call the shots, it can certainly have a real influence on how the company is run.

Private Equity Ownership

Private equity firms hold a 6.8% stake in Groundhog. This suggests they can be influential in key policy decisions. Some might like this, because private equity are sometimes activists who hold management accountable. But other times, private equity is selling out, having taking the company public.

Private Company Ownership

It seems that Private Companies own 31%, of the Groundhog stock. It might be worth looking deeper into this. If related parties, such as insiders, have an interest in one of these private companies, that should be disclosed in the annual report. Private companies may also have a strategic interest in the company.

Next Steps:

It's always worth thinking about the different groups who own shares in a company. But to understand Groundhog better, we need to consider many other factors. Like risks, for instance. Every company has them, and we've spotted 4 warning signs for Groundhog (of which 1 doesn't sit too well with us!) you should know about.

But ultimately it is the future, not the past, that will determine how well the owners of this business will do. Therefore we think it advisable to take a look at this free report showing whether analysts are predicting a brighter future.

NB: Figures in this article are calculated using data from the last twelve months, which refer to the 12-month period ending on the last date of the month the financial statement is dated. This may not be consistent with full year annual report figures.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.