Just because a business does not make any money, does not mean that the stock will go down. For example, although software-as-a-service business Salesforce.com lost money for years while it grew recurring revenue, if you held shares since 2005, you'd have done very well indeed. Having said that, unprofitable companies are risky because they could potentially burn through all their cash and become distressed.
So, the natural question for iSTART-TEK (GTSM:6786) shareholders is whether they should be concerned by its rate of cash burn. For the purposes of this article, cash burn is the annual rate at which an unprofitable company spends cash to fund its growth; its negative free cash flow. We'll start by comparing its cash burn with its cash reserves in order to calculate its cash runway.
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When Might iSTART-TEK Run Out Of Money?
A company's cash runway is calculated by dividing its cash hoard by its cash burn. iSTART-TEK has such a small amount of debt that we'll set it aside, and focus on the NT$143m in cash it held at June 2020. Importantly, its cash burn was NT$37m over the trailing twelve months. That means it had a cash runway of about 3.8 years as of June 2020. A runway of this length affords the company the time and space it needs to develop the business. The image below shows how its cash balance has been changing over the last few years.
How Is iSTART-TEK's Cash Burn Changing Over Time?
In our view, iSTART-TEK doesn't yet produce significant amounts of operating revenue, since it reported just NT$16m in the last twelve months. Therefore, for the purposes of this analysis we'll focus on how the cash burn is tracking. Over the last year its cash burn actually increased by 29%, which suggests that management are increasing investment in future growth, but not too quickly. However, the company's true cash runway will therefore be shorter than suggested above, if spending continues to increase. iSTART-TEK makes us a little nervous due to its lack of substantial operating revenue. So we'd generally prefer stocks from this list of stocks that have analysts forecasting growth.
How Hard Would It Be For iSTART-TEK To Raise More Cash For Growth?
Given its cash burn trajectory, iSTART-TEK shareholders may wish to consider how easily it could raise more cash, despite its solid cash runway. Generally speaking, a listed business can raise new cash through issuing shares or taking on debt. Commonly, a business will sell new shares in itself to raise cash and drive growth. By comparing a company's annual cash burn to its total market capitalisation, we can estimate roughly how many shares it would have to issue in order to run the company for another year (at the same burn rate).
iSTART-TEK has a market capitalisation of NT$1.4b and burnt through NT$37m last year, which is 2.6% of the company's market value. That means it could easily issue a few shares to fund more growth, and might well be in a position to borrow cheaply.
So, Should We Worry About iSTART-TEK's Cash Burn?
It may already be apparent to you that we're relatively comfortable with the way iSTART-TEK is burning through its cash. For example, we think its cash runway suggests that the company is on a good path. While its increasing cash burn wasn't great, the other factors mentioned in this article more than make up for weakness on that measure. Looking at all the measures in this article, together, we're not worried about its rate of cash burn; the company seems well on top of its medium-term spending needs. Separately, we looked at different risks affecting the company and spotted 4 warning signs for iSTART-TEK (of which 1 doesn't sit too well with us!) you should know about.
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About TPEX:6786
Flawless balance sheet slight.