Stock Analysis

Is Zen Voce (GTSM:3581) A Risky Investment?

TPEX:3581
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David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We note that Zen Voce Corporation (GTSM:3581) does have debt on its balance sheet. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

When Is Debt A Problem?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

See our latest analysis for Zen Voce

How Much Debt Does Zen Voce Carry?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at September 2020 Zen Voce had debt of NT$426.2m, up from NT$388.7m in one year. However, it does have NT$391.6m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about NT$34.6m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
GTSM:3581 Debt to Equity History March 11th 2021

How Healthy Is Zen Voce's Balance Sheet?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Zen Voce had liabilities of NT$626.2m due within 12 months and liabilities of NT$71.4m due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of NT$391.6m and NT$415.0m worth of receivables due within a year. So it actually has NT$109.0m more liquid assets than total liabilities.

This short term liquidity is a sign that Zen Voce could probably pay off its debt with ease, as its balance sheet is far from stretched.

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

Zen Voce has a low net debt to EBITDA ratio of only 0.30. And its EBIT easily covers its interest expense, being 65.3 times the size. So we're pretty relaxed about its super-conservative use of debt. Also good is that Zen Voce grew its EBIT at 13% over the last year, further increasing its ability to manage debt. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Zen Voce will need earnings to service that debt. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. Over the most recent three years, Zen Voce recorded free cash flow worth 76% of its EBIT, which is around normal, given free cash flow excludes interest and tax. This cold hard cash means it can reduce its debt when it wants to.

Our View

Zen Voce's interest cover suggests it can handle its debt as easily as Cristiano Ronaldo could score a goal against an under 14's goalkeeper. And the good news does not stop there, as its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow also supports that impression! Considering this range of factors, it seems to us that Zen Voce is quite prudent with its debt, and the risks seem well managed. So we're not worried about the use of a little leverage on the balance sheet. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For example Zen Voce has 4 warning signs (and 2 which are potentially serious) we think you should know about.

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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