Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. Importantly, Highwealth Construction Corp. (TPE:2542) does carry debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?
What Risk Does Debt Bring?
Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.
View our latest analysis for Highwealth Construction
How Much Debt Does Highwealth Construction Carry?
As you can see below, at the end of December 2020, Highwealth Construction had NT$122.5b of debt, up from NT$96.4b a year ago. Click the image for more detail. However, it also had NT$22.9b in cash, and so its net debt is NT$99.6b.
A Look At Highwealth Construction's Liabilities
According to the last reported balance sheet, Highwealth Construction had liabilities of NT$115.4b due within 12 months, and liabilities of NT$29.6b due beyond 12 months. Offsetting this, it had NT$22.9b in cash and NT$1.78b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities total NT$120.3b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.
The deficiency here weighs heavily on the NT$57.6b company itself, as if a child were struggling under the weight of an enormous back-pack full of books, his sports gear, and a trumpet. So we'd watch its balance sheet closely, without a doubt. At the end of the day, Highwealth Construction would probably need a major re-capitalization if its creditors were to demand repayment.
In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.
Highwealth Construction has a rather high debt to EBITDA ratio of 23.0 which suggests a meaningful debt load. But the good news is that it boasts fairly comforting interest cover of 5.1 times, suggesting it can responsibly service its obligations. One way Highwealth Construction could vanquish its debt would be if it stops borrowing more but continues to grow EBIT at around 19%, as it did over the last year. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Highwealth Construction's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.
But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. Over the last three years, Highwealth Construction saw substantial negative free cash flow, in total. While investors are no doubt expecting a reversal of that situation in due course, it clearly does mean its use of debt is more risky.
Our View
On the face of it, Highwealth Construction's conversion of EBIT to free cash flow left us tentative about the stock, and its level of total liabilities was no more enticing than the one empty restaurant on the busiest night of the year. But on the bright side, its EBIT growth rate is a good sign, and makes us more optimistic. We're quite clear that we consider Highwealth Construction to be really rather risky, as a result of its balance sheet health. So we're almost as wary of this stock as a hungry kitten is about falling into its owner's fish pond: once bitten, twice shy, as they say. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. We've identified 4 warning signs with Highwealth Construction (at least 3 which shouldn't be ignored) , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.
If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.
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About TWSE:2542
Highwealth Construction
Engages in the development, construction, leasing, and sale of residential and commercial buildings in Taiwan.
High growth potential with adequate balance sheet.