Stock Analysis

We're Interested To See How GlycoNex Incorporation (GTSM:4168) Uses Its Cash Hoard To Grow

TPEX:4168
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Just because a business does not make any money, does not mean that the stock will go down. For example, although software-as-a-service business Salesforce.com lost money for years while it grew recurring revenue, if you held shares since 2005, you'd have done very well indeed. Having said that, unprofitable companies are risky because they could potentially burn through all their cash and become distressed.

So, the natural question for GlycoNex Incorporation (GTSM:4168) shareholders is whether they should be concerned by its rate of cash burn. For the purposes of this article, cash burn is the annual rate at which an unprofitable company spends cash to fund its growth; its negative free cash flow. We'll start by comparing its cash burn with its cash reserves in order to calculate its cash runway.

Check out our latest analysis for GlycoNex Incorporation

When Might GlycoNex Incorporation Run Out Of Money?

You can calculate a company's cash runway by dividing the amount of cash it has by the rate at which it is spending that cash. When GlycoNex Incorporation last reported its balance sheet in September 2020, it had zero debt and cash worth NT$521m. Importantly, its cash burn was NT$142m over the trailing twelve months. That means it had a cash runway of about 3.7 years as of September 2020. There's no doubt that this is a reassuringly long runway. Depicted below, you can see how its cash holdings have changed over time.

debt-equity-history-analysis
GTSM:4168 Debt to Equity History December 11th 2020

How Is GlycoNex Incorporation's Cash Burn Changing Over Time?

In our view, GlycoNex Incorporation doesn't yet produce significant amounts of operating revenue, since it reported just NT$540k in the last twelve months. As a result, we think it's a bit early to focus on the revenue growth, so we'll limit ourselves to looking at how the cash burn is changing over time. Even though it doesn't get us excited, the 28% reduction in cash burn year on year does suggest the company can continue operating for quite some time. GlycoNex Incorporation makes us a little nervous due to its lack of substantial operating revenue. So we'd generally prefer stocks from this list of stocks that have analysts forecasting growth.

Can GlycoNex Incorporation Raise More Cash Easily?

Even though it has reduced its cash burn recently, shareholders should still consider how easy it would be for GlycoNex Incorporation to raise more cash in the future. Companies can raise capital through either debt or equity. Many companies end up issuing new shares to fund future growth. We can compare a company's cash burn to its market capitalisation to get a sense for how many new shares a company would have to issue to fund one year's operations.

GlycoNex Incorporation has a market capitalisation of NT$2.3b and burnt through NT$142m last year, which is 6.3% of the company's market value. Given that is a rather small percentage, it would probably be really easy for the company to fund another year's growth by issuing some new shares to investors, or even by taking out a loan.

How Risky Is GlycoNex Incorporation's Cash Burn Situation?

It may already be apparent to you that we're relatively comfortable with the way GlycoNex Incorporation is burning through its cash. For example, we think its cash runway suggests that the company is on a good path. Its cash burn reduction wasn't quite as good, but was still rather encouraging! After taking into account the various metrics mentioned in this report, we're pretty comfortable with how the company is spending its cash, as it seems on track to meet its needs over the medium term. On another note, GlycoNex Incorporation has 5 warning signs (and 2 which don't sit too well with us) we think you should know about.

Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking elsewhere. So take a peek at this free list of companies insiders are buying, and this list of stocks growth stocks (according to analyst forecasts)

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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