Stock Analysis

We Think Chung Hwa Chemical Industrial Works (TWSE:1727) Is Taking Some Risk With Its Debt

TWSE:1727
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David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We can see that Chung Hwa Chemical Industrial Works, Ltd. (TWSE:1727) does use debt in its business. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

When Is Debt A Problem?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

Check out our latest analysis for Chung Hwa Chemical Industrial Works

What Is Chung Hwa Chemical Industrial Works's Net Debt?

As you can see below, Chung Hwa Chemical Industrial Works had NT$543.5m of debt at September 2023, down from NT$925.2m a year prior. However, because it has a cash reserve of NT$205.0m, its net debt is less, at about NT$338.5m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
TWSE:1727 Debt to Equity History February 29th 2024

A Look At Chung Hwa Chemical Industrial Works' Liabilities

The latest balance sheet data shows that Chung Hwa Chemical Industrial Works had liabilities of NT$582.5m due within a year, and liabilities of NT$314.9m falling due after that. On the other hand, it had cash of NT$205.0m and NT$499.8m worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities total NT$192.6m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

Since publicly traded Chung Hwa Chemical Industrial Works shares are worth a total of NT$4.01b, it seems unlikely that this level of liabilities would be a major threat. But there are sufficient liabilities that we would certainly recommend shareholders continue to monitor the balance sheet, going forward.

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

Looking at its net debt to EBITDA of 1.4 and interest cover of 5.5 times, it seems to us that Chung Hwa Chemical Industrial Works is probably using debt in a pretty reasonable way. So we'd recommend keeping a close eye on the impact financing costs are having on the business. Importantly, Chung Hwa Chemical Industrial Works's EBIT fell a jaw-dropping 45% in the last twelve months. If that earnings trend continues then paying off its debt will be about as easy as herding cats on to a roller coaster. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is Chung Hwa Chemical Industrial Works's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. In the last three years, Chung Hwa Chemical Industrial Works's free cash flow amounted to 39% of its EBIT, less than we'd expect. That weak cash conversion makes it more difficult to handle indebtedness.

Our View

Chung Hwa Chemical Industrial Works's struggle to grow its EBIT had us second guessing its balance sheet strength, but the other data-points we considered were relatively redeeming. But on the bright side, its ability to handle its debt, based on its EBITDA, isn't too shabby at all. We think that Chung Hwa Chemical Industrial Works's debt does make it a bit risky, after considering the aforementioned data points together. Not all risk is bad, as it can boost share price returns if it pays off, but this debt risk is worth keeping in mind. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example, we've discovered 3 warning signs for Chung Hwa Chemical Industrial Works (2 are a bit unpleasant!) that you should be aware of before investing here.

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.