Everlight Chemical Industrial Corporation's (TWSE:1711) 26% Share Price Surge Not Quite Adding Up

Everlight Chemical Industrial Corporation (TWSE:1711) shareholders have had their patience rewarded with a 26% share price jump in the last month. The last 30 days bring the annual gain to a very sharp 28%.

Since its price has surged higher, Everlight Chemical Industrial's price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 70.6x might make it look like a strong sell right now compared to the market in Taiwan, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios below 21x and even P/E's below 14x are quite common. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so lofty.

Earnings have risen at a steady rate over the last year for Everlight Chemical Industrial, which is generally not a bad outcome. One possibility is that the P/E is high because investors think this good earnings growth will be enough to outperform the broader market in the near future. If not, then existing shareholders may be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.

See our latest analysis for Everlight Chemical Industrial

Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Everlight Chemical Industrial will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

Is There Enough Growth For Everlight Chemical Industrial?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should far outperform the market for P/E ratios like Everlight Chemical Industrial's to be considered reasonable.

If we review the last year of earnings growth, the company posted a worthy increase of 3.9%. Ultimately though, it couldn't turn around the poor performance of the prior period, with EPS shrinking 52% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of earnings growth.

Weighing that medium-term earnings trajectory against the broader market's one-year forecast for expansion of 25% shows it's an unpleasant look.

In light of this, it's alarming that Everlight Chemical Industrial's P/E sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent earnings trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.

The Key Takeaway

The strong share price surge has got Everlight Chemical Industrial's P/E rushing to great heights as well. While the price-to-earnings ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of earnings expectations.

Our examination of Everlight Chemical Industrial revealed its shrinking earnings over the medium-term aren't impacting its high P/E anywhere near as much as we would have predicted, given the market is set to grow. Right now we are increasingly uncomfortable with the high P/E as this earnings performance is highly unlikely to support such positive sentiment for long. If recent medium-term earnings trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at significant risk and potential investors in danger of paying an excessive premium.

You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 1 warning sign for Everlight Chemical Industrial you should be aware of.

Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking at a few good candidates. So take a peek at this free list of companies with a strong growth track record, trading on a low P/E.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.