Stock Analysis

Evergreen Steel Corp.'s (GTSM:2211) Stock Has Shown Weakness Lately But Financial Prospects Look Decent: Is The Market Wrong?

TWSE:2211
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With its stock down 3.4% over the past three months, it is easy to disregard Evergreen Steel (GTSM:2211). However, the company's fundamentals look pretty decent, and long-term financials are usually aligned with future market price movements. Particularly, we will be paying attention to Evergreen Steel's ROE today.

Return on equity or ROE is a key measure used to assess how efficiently a company's management is utilizing the company's capital. In short, ROE shows the profit each dollar generates with respect to its shareholder investments.

Check out our latest analysis for Evergreen Steel

How Do You Calculate Return On Equity?

Return on equity can be calculated by using the formula:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Evergreen Steel is:

9.8% = NT$1.4b ÷ NT$14b (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2020).

The 'return' is the income the business earned over the last year. One way to conceptualize this is that for each NT$1 of shareholders' capital it has, the company made NT$0.10 in profit.

Why Is ROE Important For Earnings Growth?

Thus far, we have learned that ROE measures how efficiently a company is generating its profits. We now need to evaluate how much profit the company reinvests or "retains" for future growth which then gives us an idea about the growth potential of the company. Generally speaking, other things being equal, firms with a high return on equity and profit retention, have a higher growth rate than firms that don’t share these attributes.

Evergreen Steel's Earnings Growth And 9.8% ROE

To begin with, Evergreen Steel seems to have a respectable ROE. On comparing with the average industry ROE of 5.7% the company's ROE looks pretty remarkable. Despite this, Evergreen Steel's five year net income growth was quite low averaging at only 3.8%. This is generally not the case as when a company has a high rate of return it should usually also have a high earnings growth rate. A few likely reasons why this could happen is that the company could have a high payout ratio or the business has allocated capital poorly, for instance.

As a next step, we compared Evergreen Steel's net income growth with the industry and were disappointed to see that the company's growth is lower than the industry average growth of 7.3% in the same period.

past-earnings-growth
GTSM:2211 Past Earnings Growth January 7th 2021

Earnings growth is an important metric to consider when valuing a stock. What investors need to determine next is if the expected earnings growth, or the lack of it, is already built into the share price. By doing so, they will have an idea if the stock is headed into clear blue waters or if swampy waters await. If you're wondering about Evergreen Steel's's valuation, check out this gauge of its price-to-earnings ratio, as compared to its industry.

Is Evergreen Steel Making Efficient Use Of Its Profits?

Evergreen Steel has a three-year median payout ratio of 77% (implying that it keeps only 23% of its profits), meaning that it pays out most of its profits to shareholders as dividends, and as a result, the company has seen low earnings growth.

Only recently, Evergreen Steel started paying a dividend. This means that the management might have concluded that its shareholders prefer dividends over earnings growth. Upon studying the latest analysts' consensus data, we found that the company is expected to keep paying out approximately 71% of its profits over the next three years. Accordingly, forecasts suggest that Evergreen Steel's future ROE will be 10% which is again, similar to the current ROE.

Summary

Overall, we feel that Evergreen Steel certainly does have some positive factors to consider. Yet, the low earnings growth is a bit concerning, especially given that the company has a high rate of return. Investors could have benefitted from the high ROE, had the company been reinvesting more of its earnings. As discussed earlier, the company is retaining a small portion of its profits. With that said, the latest industry analyst forecasts reveal that the company's earnings are expected to accelerate. To know more about the latest analysts predictions for the company, check out this visualization of analyst forecasts for the company.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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