Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We note that Chia Yi Steel Co., Ltd. (GTSM:2067) does have debt on its balance sheet. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?
Why Does Debt Bring Risk?
Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.
View our latest analysis for Chia Yi Steel
What Is Chia Yi Steel's Debt?
As you can see below, at the end of September 2020, Chia Yi Steel had NT$705.4m of debt, up from NT$637.4m a year ago. Click the image for more detail. However, because it has a cash reserve of NT$132.1m, its net debt is less, at about NT$573.3m.
A Look At Chia Yi Steel's Liabilities
According to the last reported balance sheet, Chia Yi Steel had liabilities of NT$634.2m due within 12 months, and liabilities of NT$334.1m due beyond 12 months. On the other hand, it had cash of NT$132.1m and NT$191.8m worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by NT$644.4m.
Given this deficit is actually higher than the company's market capitalization of NT$462.7m, we think shareholders really should watch Chia Yi Steel's debt levels, like a parent watching their child ride a bike for the first time. In the scenario where the company had to clean up its balance sheet quickly, it seems likely shareholders would suffer extensive dilution. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is Chia Yi Steel's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.
In the last year Chia Yi Steel had a loss before interest and tax, and actually shrunk its revenue by 33%, to NT$700m. That makes us nervous, to say the least.
Caveat Emptor
While Chia Yi Steel's falling revenue is about as heartwarming as a wet blanket, arguably its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss is even less appealing. Indeed, it lost a very considerable NT$78m at the EBIT level. When we look at that alongside the significant liabilities, we're not particularly confident about the company. It would need to improve its operations quickly for us to be interested in it. Not least because it had negative free cash flow of NT$51m over the last twelve months. So suffice it to say we consider the stock to be risky. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For instance, we've identified 1 warning sign for Chia Yi Steel that you should be aware of.
If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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About TPEX:2067
Chia Yi Steel
Manufactures and supplies castings for automobile parts sector in Asia, Europe, and the United States.
Low and slightly overvalued.