Stock Analysis

Market Might Still Lack Some Conviction On The First Insurance Co., Ltd. (TWSE:2852) Even After 25% Share Price Boost

TWSE:2852
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Despite an already strong run, The First Insurance Co., Ltd. (TWSE:2852) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 25% in the last thirty days. The last 30 days bring the annual gain to a very sharp 56%.

Even after such a large jump in price, First Insurance may still be sending very bullish signals at the moment with its price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 9.4x, since almost half of all companies in Taiwan have P/E ratios greater than 24x and even P/E's higher than 41x are not unusual. However, the P/E might be quite low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

First Insurance certainly has been doing a great job lately as it's been growing earnings at a really rapid pace. It might be that many expect the strong earnings performance to degrade substantially, which has repressed the P/E. If that doesn't eventuate, then existing shareholders have reason to be quite optimistic about the future direction of the share price.

See our latest analysis for First Insurance

pe-multiple-vs-industry
TWSE:2852 Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry May 8th 2024
Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on First Insurance will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

What Are Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/E?

In order to justify its P/E ratio, First Insurance would need to produce anemic growth that's substantially trailing the market.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew earnings per share by an impressive 57% last year. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 101% overall rise in EPS, aided by its short-term performance. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing earnings over that time.

Comparing that to the market, which is predicted to deliver 27% growth in the next 12 months, the company's momentum is pretty similar based on recent medium-term annualised earnings results.

In light of this, it's peculiar that First Insurance's P/E sits below the majority of other companies. It may be that most investors are not convinced the company can maintain recent growth rates.

The Bottom Line On First Insurance's P/E

Even after such a strong price move, First Insurance's P/E still trails the rest of the market significantly. Using the price-to-earnings ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

We've established that First Insurance currently trades on a lower than expected P/E since its recent three-year growth is in line with the wider market forecast. When we see average earnings with market-like growth, we assume potential risks are what might be placing pressure on the P/E ratio. At least the risk of a price drop looks to be subdued if recent medium-term earnings trends continue, but investors seem to think future earnings could see some volatility.

Plus, you should also learn about these 2 warning signs we've spotted with First Insurance.

It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether First Insurance is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.