Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. Importantly, Taiwan Tea Corporation (TPE:2913) does carry debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?
When Is Debt A Problem?
Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.
Check out our latest analysis for Taiwan Tea
What Is Taiwan Tea's Net Debt?
You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of September 2020 Taiwan Tea had NT$5.86b of debt, an increase on NT$5.24b, over one year. And it doesn't have much cash, so its net debt is about the same.
A Look At Taiwan Tea's Liabilities
According to the last reported balance sheet, Taiwan Tea had liabilities of NT$1.02b due within 12 months, and liabilities of NT$8.22b due beyond 12 months. Offsetting this, it had NT$100.2m in cash and NT$24.3m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by NT$9.12b.
This is a mountain of leverage relative to its market capitalization of NT$13.6b. Should its lenders demand that it shore up the balance sheet, shareholders would likely face severe dilution. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Taiwan Tea will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.
Over 12 months, Taiwan Tea reported revenue of NT$303m, which is a gain of 4.6%, although it did not report any earnings before interest and tax. That rate of growth is a bit slow for our taste, but it takes all types to make a world.
Caveat Emptor
Over the last twelve months Taiwan Tea produced an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss. To be specific the EBIT loss came in at NT$148m. When we look at that and recall the liabilities on its balance sheet, relative to cash, it seems unwise to us for the company to have any debt. Quite frankly we think the balance sheet is far from match-fit, although it could be improved with time. However, it doesn't help that it burned through NT$673m of cash over the last year. So suffice it to say we do consider the stock to be risky. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example, we've discovered 1 warning sign for Taiwan Tea that you should be aware of before investing here.
If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.
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About TWSE:2913
Taiwan Tea
Taiwan Tea Corporation is involved in the plantation, cultivation, production, and sale of tea products in Taiwan.
Adequate balance sheet minimal.