Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We can see that Hunya Foods Co., Ltd. (TPE:1236) does use debt in its business. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.
What Risk Does Debt Bring?
Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.
Check out our latest analysis for Hunya Foods
What Is Hunya Foods's Debt?
You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of December 2020 Hunya Foods had NT$600.0m of debt, an increase on NT$470.0m, over one year. However, it does have NT$89.4m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about NT$510.5m.
How Strong Is Hunya Foods' Balance Sheet?
According to the last reported balance sheet, Hunya Foods had liabilities of NT$586.0m due within 12 months, and liabilities of NT$571.0m due beyond 12 months. On the other hand, it had cash of NT$89.4m and NT$326.8m worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by NT$740.8m.
While this might seem like a lot, it is not so bad since Hunya Foods has a market capitalization of NT$1.51b, and so it could probably strengthen its balance sheet by raising capital if it needed to. But we definitely want to keep our eyes open to indications that its debt is bringing too much risk. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is Hunya Foods's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.
In the last year Hunya Foods had a loss before interest and tax, and actually shrunk its revenue by 12%, to NT$1.6b. We would much prefer see growth.
Caveat Emptor
Not only did Hunya Foods's revenue slip over the last twelve months, but it also produced negative earnings before interest and tax (EBIT). Indeed, it lost NT$11m at the EBIT level. Considering that alongside the liabilities mentioned above does not give us much confidence that company should be using so much debt. Quite frankly we think the balance sheet is far from match-fit, although it could be improved with time. On the bright side, we note that trailing twelve month EBIT is worse than the free cash flow of NT$134m and the profit of NT$180k. So one might argue that there's still a chance it can get things on the right track. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. We've identified 4 warning signs with Hunya Foods (at least 1 which doesn't sit too well with us) , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.
If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.
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About TWSE:1236
Hunya Foods
Engages in manufacturing, processing, and trading of confectionery, biscuits, chocolates, mooncakes, pastries, bread, and cakes.
Imperfect balance sheet very low.