What trends should we look for it we want to identify stocks that can multiply in value over the long term? Ideally, a business will show two trends; firstly a growing return on capital employed (ROCE) and secondly, an increasing amount of capital employed. Basically this means that a company has profitable initiatives that it can continue to reinvest in, which is a trait of a compounding machine. In light of that, when we looked at TTFB (GTSM:2729) and its ROCE trend, we weren't exactly thrilled.
Understanding Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)
Just to clarify if you're unsure, ROCE is a metric for evaluating how much pre-tax income (in percentage terms) a company earns on the capital invested in its business. The formula for this calculation on TTFB is:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.093 = NT$419m ÷ (NT$5.5b - NT$1.0b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2020).
Therefore, TTFB has an ROCE of 9.3%. In absolute terms, that's a low return, but it's much better than the Hospitality industry average of 5.6%.
Check out our latest analysis for TTFB
While the past is not representative of the future, it can be helpful to know how a company has performed historically, which is why we have this chart above. If you'd like to look at how TTFB has performed in the past in other metrics, you can view this free graph of past earnings, revenue and cash flow.
The Trend Of ROCE
When we looked at the ROCE trend at TTFB, we didn't gain much confidence. Around five years ago the returns on capital were 17%, but since then they've fallen to 9.3%. On the other hand, the company has been employing more capital without a corresponding improvement in sales in the last year, which could suggest these investments are longer term plays. It's worth keeping an eye on the company's earnings from here on to see if these investments do end up contributing to the bottom line.
In Conclusion...
In summary, TTFB is reinvesting funds back into the business for growth but unfortunately it looks like sales haven't increased much just yet. And with the stock having returned a mere 28% in the last five years to shareholders, you could argue that they're aware of these lackluster trends. As a result, if you're hunting for a multi-bagger, we think you'd have more luck elsewhere.
One more thing to note, we've identified 2 warning signs with TTFB and understanding these should be part of your investment process.
While TTFB isn't earning the highest return, check out this free list of companies that are earning high returns on equity with solid balance sheets.
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About TPEX:2729
Mediocre balance sheet second-rate dividend payer.