The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We note that Thunder Tiger Corp. (TPE:8033) does have debt on its balance sheet. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?
Why Does Debt Bring Risk?
Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.
View our latest analysis for Thunder Tiger
How Much Debt Does Thunder Tiger Carry?
You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of September 2020 Thunder Tiger had NT$305.0m of debt, an increase on NT$252.2m, over one year. However, it does have NT$236.3m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about NT$68.7m.
How Healthy Is Thunder Tiger's Balance Sheet?
Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Thunder Tiger had liabilities of NT$450.9m due within 12 months and liabilities of NT$116.6m due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had NT$236.3m in cash and NT$186.9m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling NT$144.4m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.
Given Thunder Tiger has a market capitalization of NT$1.71b, it's hard to believe these liabilities pose much threat. But there are sufficient liabilities that we would certainly recommend shareholders continue to monitor the balance sheet, going forward. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is Thunder Tiger's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.
Over 12 months, Thunder Tiger saw its revenue hold pretty steady, and it did not report positive earnings before interest and tax. While that hardly impresses, its not too bad either.
Caveat Emptor
Over the last twelve months Thunder Tiger produced an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss. Indeed, it lost NT$74m at the EBIT level. When we look at that and recall the liabilities on its balance sheet, relative to cash, it seems unwise to us for the company to have any debt. So we think its balance sheet is a little strained, though not beyond repair. However, it doesn't help that it burned through NT$22m of cash over the last year. So suffice it to say we do consider the stock to be risky. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example - Thunder Tiger has 2 warning signs we think you should be aware of.
When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.
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About TWSE:8033
Adequate balance sheet with questionable track record.