Cautious Investors Not Rewarding CTCI Corporation's (TWSE:9933) Performance Completely

With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 20.2x CTCI Corporation (TWSE:9933) may be sending bullish signals at the moment, given that almost half of all companies in Taiwan have P/E ratios greater than 23x and even P/E's higher than 39x are not unusual. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the reduced P/E.

CTCI has been struggling lately as its earnings have declined faster than most other companies. It seems that many are expecting the dismal earnings performance to persist, which has repressed the P/E. If you still like the company, you'd want its earnings trajectory to turn around before making any decisions. If not, then existing shareholders will probably struggle to get excited about the future direction of the share price.

See our latest analysis for CTCI

Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on CTCI will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

Is There Any Growth For CTCI?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should underperform the market for P/E ratios like CTCI's to be considered reasonable.

If we review the last year of earnings, dishearteningly the company's profits fell to the tune of 22%. However, a few very strong years before that means that it was still able to grow EPS by an impressive 134% in total over the last three years. Although it's been a bumpy ride, it's still fair to say the earnings growth recently has been more than adequate for the company.

Turning to the outlook, the next year should generate growth of 40% as estimated by the three analysts watching the company. That's shaping up to be materially higher than the 24% growth forecast for the broader market.

In light of this, it's peculiar that CTCI's P/E sits below the majority of other companies. Apparently some shareholders are doubtful of the forecasts and have been accepting significantly lower selling prices.

The Final Word

Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-earnings ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

Our examination of CTCI's analyst forecasts revealed that its superior earnings outlook isn't contributing to its P/E anywhere near as much as we would have predicted. When we see a strong earnings outlook with faster-than-market growth, we assume potential risks are what might be placing significant pressure on the P/E ratio. At least price risks look to be very low, but investors seem to think future earnings could see a lot of volatility.

Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 1 warning sign for CTCI that you should be aware of.

Of course, you might also be able to find a better stock than CTCI. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.