Subdued Growth No Barrier To Mirle Automation Corporation (TWSE:2464) With Shares Advancing 51%
Mirle Automation Corporation (TWSE:2464) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 51% gain in the last month alone. The annual gain comes to 143% following the latest surge, making investors sit up and take notice.
Although its price has surged higher, you could still be forgiven for feeling indifferent about Mirle Automation's P/S ratio of 2.2x, since the median price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio for the Machinery industry in Taiwan is about the same. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/S without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.
See our latest analysis for Mirle Automation
How Mirle Automation Has Been Performing
For example, consider that Mirle Automation's financial performance has been poor lately as its revenue has been in decline. It might be that many expect the company to put the disappointing revenue performance behind them over the coming period, which has kept the P/S from falling. If not, then existing shareholders may be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Mirle Automation's earnings, revenue and cash flow.Is There Some Revenue Growth Forecasted For Mirle Automation?
Mirle Automation's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver moderate growth, and importantly, perform in line with the industry.
Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 25%. The last three years don't look nice either as the company has shrunk revenue by 13% in aggregate. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of revenue growth.
Comparing that to the industry, which is predicted to deliver 18% growth in the next 12 months, the company's downward momentum based on recent medium-term revenue results is a sobering picture.
With this in mind, we find it worrying that Mirle Automation's P/S exceeds that of its industry peers. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh on the share price eventually.
What We Can Learn From Mirle Automation's P/S?
Its shares have lifted substantially and now Mirle Automation's P/S is back within range of the industry median. It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.
The fact that Mirle Automation currently trades at a P/S on par with the rest of the industry is surprising to us since its recent revenues have been in decline over the medium-term, all while the industry is set to grow. Even though it matches the industry, we're uncomfortable with the current P/S ratio, as this dismal revenue performance is unlikely to support a more positive sentiment for long. Unless the the circumstances surrounding the recent medium-term improve, it wouldn't be wrong to expect a a difficult period ahead for the company's shareholders.
You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 4 warning signs for Mirle Automation you should be aware of, and 2 of them don't sit too well with us.
It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).
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About TWSE:2464
Mirle Automation
Engages in the business of automation equipment systems and components in Taiwan, China, and internationally.
Mediocre balance sheet low.