With A 29% Price Drop For Fortune Electric Co., Ltd. (TWSE:1519) You'll Still Get What You Pay For
Fortune Electric Co., Ltd. (TWSE:1519) shareholders won't be pleased to see that the share price has had a very rough month, dropping 29% and undoing the prior period's positive performance. The drop over the last 30 days has capped off a tough year for shareholders, with the share price down 33% in that time.
In spite of the heavy fall in price, Fortune Electric may still be sending very bearish signals at the moment with a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 30.1x, since almost half of all companies in Taiwan have P/E ratios under 19x and even P/E's lower than 14x are not unusual. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly elevated P/E.
Fortune Electric certainly has been doing a good job lately as it's been growing earnings more than most other companies. The P/E is probably high because investors think this strong earnings performance will continue. If not, then existing shareholders might be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.
Check out our latest analysis for Fortune Electric
Is There Enough Growth For Fortune Electric?
In order to justify its P/E ratio, Fortune Electric would need to produce outstanding growth well in excess of the market.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 66% gain to the company's bottom line. Pleasingly, EPS has also lifted 1,379% in aggregate from three years ago, thanks to the last 12 months of growth. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been superb for the company.
Shifting to the future, estimates from the six analysts covering the company suggest earnings should grow by 36% over the next year. Meanwhile, the rest of the market is forecast to only expand by 18%, which is noticeably less attractive.
In light of this, it's understandable that Fortune Electric's P/E sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are expecting this strong future growth and are willing to pay more for the stock.
What We Can Learn From Fortune Electric's P/E?
Fortune Electric's shares may have retreated, but its P/E is still flying high. We'd say the price-to-earnings ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.
We've established that Fortune Electric maintains its high P/E on the strength of its forecast growth being higher than the wider market, as expected. Right now shareholders are comfortable with the P/E as they are quite confident future earnings aren't under threat. Unless these conditions change, they will continue to provide strong support to the share price.
And what about other risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 3 warning signs for Fortune Electric (of which 1 is concerning!) you should know about.
You might be able to find a better investment than Fortune Electric. If you want a selection of possible candidates, check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).
Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
Discover if Fortune Electric might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.