Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We can see that Apex Science & Engineering Corp. (TPE:3052) does use debt in its business. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?
When Is Debt Dangerous?
Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.
View our latest analysis for Apex Science & Engineering
How Much Debt Does Apex Science & Engineering Carry?
You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that Apex Science & Engineering had NT$2.37b of debt in September 2020, down from NT$5.66b, one year before. However, it does have NT$351.7m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about NT$2.02b.
How Healthy Is Apex Science & Engineering's Balance Sheet?
The latest balance sheet data shows that Apex Science & Engineering had liabilities of NT$3.59b due within a year, and liabilities of NT$556.3m falling due after that. Offsetting this, it had NT$351.7m in cash and NT$3.25b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by NT$546.8m.
Since publicly traded Apex Science & Engineering shares are worth a total of NT$2.78b, it seems unlikely that this level of liabilities would be a major threat. However, we do think it is worth keeping an eye on its balance sheet strength, as it may change over time.
We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.
Apex Science & Engineering's net debt is 3.4 times its EBITDA, which is a significant but still reasonable amount of leverage. But its EBIT was about 38.5 times its interest expense, implying the company isn't really paying a high cost to maintain that level of debt. Even were the low cost to prove unsustainable, that is a good sign. We also note that Apex Science & Engineering improved its EBIT from a last year's loss to a positive NT$582m. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Apex Science & Engineering will need earnings to service that debt. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.
Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So it's worth checking how much of the earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) is backed by free cash flow. Over the last year, Apex Science & Engineering actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT. That sort of strong cash conversion gets us as excited as the crowd when the beat drops at a Daft Punk concert.
Our View
Happily, Apex Science & Engineering's impressive interest cover implies it has the upper hand on its debt. But truth be told we feel its net debt to EBITDA does undermine this impression a bit. When we consider the range of factors above, it looks like Apex Science & Engineering is pretty sensible with its use of debt. While that brings some risk, it can also enhance returns for shareholders. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Case in point: We've spotted 4 warning signs for Apex Science & Engineering you should be aware of.
When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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About TWSE:3052
Apex Science & Engineering
Operates as an engineering, and construction manufacturing and service company worldwide.
Excellent balance sheet and good value.