Is Asia Neo Tech Industrial Co.,Ltd.'s (GTSM:4542) 5.5% Dividend Sustainable?

Could Asia Neo Tech Industrial Co.,Ltd. (GTSM:4542) be an attractive dividend share to own for the long haul? Investors are often drawn to strong companies with the idea of reinvesting the dividends. On the other hand, investors have been known to buy a stock because of its yield, and then lose money if the company's dividend doesn't live up to expectations.

With a eight-year payment history and a 5.5% yield, many investors probably find Asia Neo Tech IndustrialLtd intriguing. It sure looks interesting on these metrics - but there's always more to the story. There are a few simple ways to reduce the risks of buying Asia Neo Tech IndustrialLtd for its dividend, and we'll go through these below.

Click the interactive chart for our full dividend analysis

Payout ratios

Dividends are usually paid out of company earnings. If a company is paying more than it earns, then the dividend might become unsustainable - hardly an ideal situation. As a result, we should always investigate whether a company can afford its dividend, measured as a percentage of a company's net income after tax. Asia Neo Tech IndustrialLtd paid out 181% of its profit as dividends, over the trailing twelve month period. Unless there are extenuating circumstances, from the perspective of an investor who hopes to own the company for many years, a payout ratio of above 100% is definitely a concern.

We also measure dividends paid against a company's levered free cash flow, to see if enough cash was generated to cover the dividend. Asia Neo Tech IndustrialLtd paid out 206% of its free cash flow last year, which we think is concerning if cash flows do not improve. Paying out such a high percentage of cash flow suggests that the dividend was funded from either cash at bank or by borrowing, neither of which is desirable over the long term. Cash is slightly more important than profit from a dividend perspective, but given Asia Neo Tech IndustrialLtd's payments were not well covered by either earnings or cash flow, we are concerned about the sustainability of this dividend.

While the above analysis focuses on dividends relative to a company's earnings, we do note Asia Neo Tech IndustrialLtd's strong net cash position, which will let it pay larger dividends for a time, should it choose.

We update our data on Asia Neo Tech IndustrialLtd every 24 hours, so you can always get our latest analysis of its financial health, here.

Dividend Volatility

From the perspective of an income investor who wants to earn dividends for many years, there is not much point buying a stock if its dividend is regularly cut or is not reliable. Looking at the last decade of data, we can see that Asia Neo Tech IndustrialLtd paid its first dividend at least eight years ago. It's good to see that Asia Neo Tech IndustrialLtd has been paying a dividend for a number of years. However, the dividend has been cut at least once in the past, and we're concerned that what has been cut once, could be cut again. During the past eight-year period, the first annual payment was NT$2.7 in 2012, compared to NT$1.2 last year. The dividend has shrunk at around 9.8% a year during that period. Asia Neo Tech IndustrialLtd's dividend hasn't shrunk linearly at 9.8% per annum, but the CAGR is a useful estimate of the historical rate of change.

A shrinking dividend over a eight-year period is not ideal, and we'd be concerned about investing in a dividend stock that lacks a solid record of growing dividends per share.

Dividend Growth Potential

Given that dividend payments have been shrinking like a glacier in a warming world, we need to check if there are some bright spots on the horizon. Asia Neo Tech IndustrialLtd's EPS have fallen by approximately 16% per year during the past five years. A sharp decline in earnings per share is not great from from a dividend perspective, as even conservative payout ratios can come under pressure if earnings fall far enough.

We'd also point out that Asia Neo Tech IndustrialLtd issued a meaningful number of new shares in the past year. Regularly issuing new shares can be detrimental - it's hard to grow dividends per share when new shares are regularly being created.

Conclusion

When we look at a dividend stock, we need to form a judgement on whether the dividend will grow, if the company is able to maintain it in a wide range of economic circumstances, and if the dividend payout is sustainable. Asia Neo Tech IndustrialLtd paid out almost all of its cash flow and profit as dividends, leaving little to reinvest in the business. Earnings per share have been falling, and the company has cut its dividend at least once in the past. From a dividend perspective, this is a cause for concern. Using these criteria, Asia Neo Tech IndustrialLtd looks quite suboptimal from a dividend investment perspective.

Investors generally tend to favour companies with a consistent, stable dividend policy as opposed to those operating an irregular one. Meanwhile, despite the importance of dividend payments, they are not the only factors our readers should know when assessing a company. For example, we've picked out 3 warning signs for Asia Neo Tech IndustrialLtd that investors should know about before committing capital to this stock.

If you are a dividend investor, you might also want to look at our curated list of dividend stocks yielding above 3%.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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