Stock Analysis

Did You Participate In Any Of Taichung Commercial Bank's (TPE:2812) Respectable 77% Return?

TWSE:2812
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The main point of investing for the long term is to make money. Better yet, you'd like to see the share price move up more than the market average. But Taichung Commercial Bank Co., Ltd. (TPE:2812) has fallen short of that second goal, with a share price rise of 45% over five years, which is below the market return. Zooming in, the stock is actually down 8.3% in the last year.

View our latest analysis for Taichung Commercial Bank

To quote Buffett, 'Ships will sail around the world but the Flat Earth Society will flourish. There will continue to be wide discrepancies between price and value in the marketplace...' One way to examine how market sentiment has changed over time is to look at the interaction between a company's share price and its earnings per share (EPS).

Over half a decade, Taichung Commercial Bank managed to grow its earnings per share at 1.7% a year. This EPS growth is lower than the 8% average annual increase in the share price. This suggests that market participants hold the company in higher regard, these days. And that's hardly shocking given the track record of growth.

You can see how EPS has changed over time in the image below (click on the chart to see the exact values).

earnings-per-share-growth
TSEC:2812 Earnings Per Share Growth January 18th 2021

It might be well worthwhile taking a look at our free report on Taichung Commercial Bank's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

What About Dividends?

When looking at investment returns, it is important to consider the difference between total shareholder return (TSR) and share price return. Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising or spin-off. So for companies that pay a generous dividend, the TSR is often a lot higher than the share price return. In the case of Taichung Commercial Bank, it has a TSR of 77% for the last 5 years. That exceeds its share price return that we previously mentioned. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!

A Different Perspective

Investors in Taichung Commercial Bank had a tough year, with a total loss of 6.1% (including dividends), against a market gain of about 33%. Even the share prices of good stocks drop sometimes, but we want to see improvements in the fundamental metrics of a business, before getting too interested. Longer term investors wouldn't be so upset, since they would have made 12%, each year, over five years. It could be that the recent sell-off is an opportunity, so it may be worth checking the fundamental data for signs of a long term growth trend. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. To that end, you should be aware of the 2 warning signs we've spotted with Taichung Commercial Bank .

We will like Taichung Commercial Bank better if we see some big insider buys. While we wait, check out this free list of growing companies with considerable, recent, insider buying.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on TW exchanges.

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