Stock Analysis

Cayman Engley Industrial Co., Ltd.'s (TWSE:2239) Shares May Have Run Too Fast Too Soon

TWSE:2239
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There wouldn't be many who think Cayman Engley Industrial Co., Ltd.'s (TWSE:2239) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 18.6x is worth a mention when the median P/E in Taiwan is similar at about 21x. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/E without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.

Cayman Engley Industrial certainly has been doing a great job lately as it's been growing earnings at a really rapid pace. The P/E is probably moderate because investors think this strong earnings growth might not be enough to outperform the broader market in the near future. If that doesn't eventuate, then existing shareholders have reason to be feeling optimistic about the future direction of the share price.

Check out our latest analysis for Cayman Engley Industrial

pe-multiple-vs-industry
TWSE:2239 Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry August 7th 2024
Although there are no analyst estimates available for Cayman Engley Industrial, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.

Is There Some Growth For Cayman Engley Industrial?

The only time you'd be comfortable seeing a P/E like Cayman Engley Industrial's is when the company's growth is tracking the market closely.

If we review the last year of earnings growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 86%. Despite this strong recent growth, it's still struggling to catch up as its three-year EPS frustratingly shrank by 64% overall. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of earnings growth.

In contrast to the company, the rest of the market is expected to grow by 24% over the next year, which really puts the company's recent medium-term earnings decline into perspective.

With this information, we find it concerning that Cayman Engley Industrial is trading at a fairly similar P/E to the market. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent earnings trends is likely to weigh on the share price eventually.

The Bottom Line On Cayman Engley Industrial's P/E

It's argued the price-to-earnings ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

We've established that Cayman Engley Industrial currently trades on a higher than expected P/E since its recent earnings have been in decline over the medium-term. Right now we are uncomfortable with the P/E as this earnings performance is unlikely to support a more positive sentiment for long. If recent medium-term earnings trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at risk and potential investors in danger of paying an unnecessary premium.

Before you take the next step, you should know about the 2 warning signs for Cayman Engley Industrial that we have uncovered.

Of course, you might also be able to find a better stock than Cayman Engley Industrial. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.