Stock Analysis

Are Poor Financial Prospects Dragging Down Tong Yang Industry Co.,Ltd. (TPE:1319 Stock?

TWSE:1319
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Tong Yang IndustryLtd (TPE:1319) has had a rough week with its share price down 7.1%. To decide if this trend could continue, we decided to look at its weak fundamentals as they shape the long-term market trends. Specifically, we decided to study Tong Yang IndustryLtd's ROE in this article.

Return on equity or ROE is an important factor to be considered by a shareholder because it tells them how effectively their capital is being reinvested. In simpler terms, it measures the profitability of a company in relation to shareholder's equity.

Check out our latest analysis for Tong Yang IndustryLtd

How Do You Calculate Return On Equity?

The formula for return on equity is:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Tong Yang IndustryLtd is:

4.7% = NT$1.0b ÷ NT$22b (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2020).

The 'return' is the income the business earned over the last year. That means that for every NT$1 worth of shareholders' equity, the company generated NT$0.05 in profit.

What Has ROE Got To Do With Earnings Growth?

We have already established that ROE serves as an efficient profit-generating gauge for a company's future earnings. We now need to evaluate how much profit the company reinvests or "retains" for future growth which then gives us an idea about the growth potential of the company. Assuming everything else remains unchanged, the higher the ROE and profit retention, the higher the growth rate of a company compared to companies that don't necessarily bear these characteristics.

A Side By Side comparison of Tong Yang IndustryLtd's Earnings Growth And 4.7% ROE

When you first look at it, Tong Yang IndustryLtd's ROE doesn't look that attractive. However, its ROE is similar to the industry average of 5.1%, so we won't completely dismiss the company. Having said that, Tong Yang IndustryLtd's five year net income decline rate was 3.5%. Remember, the company's ROE is a bit low to begin with. So that's what might be causing earnings growth to shrink.

We then compared Tong Yang IndustryLtd's performance with the industry and found that the company has shrunk its earnings at a slower rate than the industry earnings which has seen its earnings shrink by 11% in the same period. While this is not particularly good, its not particularly bad either.

past-earnings-growth
TSEC:1319 Past Earnings Growth January 18th 2021

Earnings growth is a huge factor in stock valuation. What investors need to determine next is if the expected earnings growth, or the lack of it, is already built into the share price. This then helps them determine if the stock is placed for a bright or bleak future. Has the market priced in the future outlook for 1319? You can find out in our latest intrinsic value infographic research report.

Is Tong Yang IndustryLtd Using Its Retained Earnings Effectively?

Tong Yang IndustryLtd's declining earnings is not surprising given how the company is spending most of its profits in paying dividends, judging by its three-year median payout ratio of 52% (or a retention ratio of 48%). With only a little being reinvested into the business, earnings growth would obviously be low or non-existent. Our risks dashboard should have the 2 risks we have identified for Tong Yang IndustryLtd.

In addition, Tong Yang IndustryLtd has been paying dividends over a period of at least ten years suggesting that keeping up dividend payments is way more important to the management even if it comes at the cost of business growth. Based on the latest analysts' estimates, we found that the company's future payout ratio over the next three years is expected to hold steady at 49%. However, Tong Yang IndustryLtd's ROE is predicted to rise to 9.0% despite there being no anticipated change in its payout ratio.

Conclusion

Overall, we would be extremely cautious before making any decision on Tong Yang IndustryLtd. As a result of its low ROE and lack of mich reinvestment into the business, the company has seen a disappointing earnings growth rate. With that said, we studied the latest analyst forecasts and found that while the company has shrunk its earnings in the past, analysts expect its earnings to grow in the future. To know more about the company's future earnings growth forecasts take a look at this free report on analyst forecasts for the company to find out more.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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