When researching a stock for investment, what can tell us that the company is in decline? Typically, we'll see the trend of both return on capital employed (ROCE) declining and this usually coincides with a decreasing amount of capital employed. This indicates the company is producing less profit from its investments and its total assets are decreasing. So after we looked into ComfortDelGro (SGX:C52), the trends above didn't look too great.
What is Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)?
For those who don't know, ROCE is a measure of a company's yearly pre-tax profit (its return), relative to the capital employed in the business. To calculate this metric for ComfortDelGro, this is the formula:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.038 = S$153m ÷ (S$5.0b - S$949m) (Based on the trailing twelve months to June 2021).
Thus, ComfortDelGro has an ROCE of 3.8%. Ultimately, that's a low return and it under-performs the Transportation industry average of 6.1%.
See our latest analysis for ComfortDelGro
Above you can see how the current ROCE for ComfortDelGro compares to its prior returns on capital, but there's only so much you can tell from the past. If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report for ComfortDelGro.
How Are Returns Trending?
We are a bit worried about the trend of returns on capital at ComfortDelGro. To be more specific, the ROCE was 11% five years ago, but since then it has dropped noticeably. And on the capital employed front, the business is utilizing roughly the same amount of capital as it was back then. Companies that exhibit these attributes tend to not be shrinking, but they can be mature and facing pressure on their margins from competition. If these trends continue, we wouldn't expect ComfortDelGro to turn into a multi-bagger.
The Bottom Line
All in all, the lower returns from the same amount of capital employed aren't exactly signs of a compounding machine. It should come as no surprise then that the stock has fallen 21% over the last five years, so it looks like investors are recognizing these changes. Unless there is a shift to a more positive trajectory in these metrics, we would look elsewhere.
If you want to continue researching ComfortDelGro, you might be interested to know about the 2 warning signs that our analysis has discovered.
While ComfortDelGro isn't earning the highest return, check out this free list of companies that are earning high returns on equity with solid balance sheets.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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About SGX:C52
ComfortDelGro
Provides public transportation services in Singapore, the United Kingdom, Australia, China, Malaysia, Ireland, New Zealand, and Vietnam.
Excellent balance sheet and good value.