Stock Analysis

Does NetLink NBN Trust (SGX:CJLU) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?

SGX:CJLU
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Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We note that NetLink NBN Trust (SGX:CJLU) does have debt on its balance sheet. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

Check out our latest analysis for NetLink NBN Trust

How Much Debt Does NetLink NBN Trust Carry?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of September 2020 NetLink NBN Trust had S$668.5m of debt, an increase on S$637.7m, over one year. However, it also had S$177.0m in cash, and so its net debt is S$491.5m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
SGX:CJLU Debt to Equity History March 5th 2021

How Strong Is NetLink NBN Trust's Balance Sheet?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that NetLink NBN Trust had liabilities of S$105.7m due within 12 months and liabilities of S$1.22b due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of S$177.0m and S$67.4m worth of receivables due within a year. So it has liabilities totalling S$1.08b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

This deficit isn't so bad because NetLink NBN Trust is worth S$3.68b, and thus could probably raise enough capital to shore up its balance sheet, if the need arose. But we definitely want to keep our eyes open to indications that its debt is bringing too much risk.

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

NetLink NBN Trust's net debt is sitting at a very reasonable 1.8 times its EBITDA, while its EBIT covered its interest expense just 5.9 times last year. In large part that's due to the company's significant depreciation and amortisation charges, which arguably mean its EBITDA is a very generous measure of earnings, and its debt may be more of a burden than it first appears. We saw NetLink NBN Trust grow its EBIT by 9.3% in the last twelve months. Whilst that hardly knocks our socks off it is a positive when it comes to debt. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if NetLink NBN Trust can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. Happily for any shareholders, NetLink NBN Trust actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT over the last three years. There's nothing better than incoming cash when it comes to staying in your lenders' good graces.

Our View

The good news is that NetLink NBN Trust's demonstrated ability to convert EBIT to free cash flow delights us like a fluffy puppy does a toddler. And we also thought its EBIT growth rate was a positive. All these things considered, it appears that NetLink NBN Trust can comfortably handle its current debt levels. On the plus side, this leverage can boost shareholder returns, but the potential downside is more risk of loss, so it's worth monitoring the balance sheet. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Be aware that NetLink NBN Trust is showing 1 warning sign in our investment analysis , you should know about...

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

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