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CDW Holding's (SGX:BXE) Robust Earnings Are Not All Good News For Shareholders
Strong earnings weren't enough to please CDW Holding Limited's (SGX:BXE) shareholders over the last week. We did some analysis and believe that they might be concerned about some weak underlying factors.
See our latest analysis for CDW Holding
A Closer Look At CDW Holding's Earnings
As finance nerds would already know, the accrual ratio from cashflow is a key measure for assessing how well a company's free cash flow (FCF) matches its profit. In plain english, this ratio subtracts FCF from net profit, and divides that number by the company's average operating assets over that period. The ratio shows us how much a company's profit exceeds its FCF.
Therefore, it's actually considered a good thing when a company has a negative accrual ratio, but a bad thing if its accrual ratio is positive. While it's not a problem to have a positive accrual ratio, indicating a certain level of non-cash profits, a high accrual ratio is arguably a bad thing, because it indicates paper profits are not matched by cash flow. That's because some academic studies have suggested that high accruals ratios tend to lead to lower profit or less profit growth.
CDW Holding has an accrual ratio of 0.25 for the year to December 2022. We can therefore deduce that its free cash flow fell well short of covering its statutory profit. To wit, it produced free cash flow of US$4.4m during the period, falling well short of its reported profit of US$14.3m. We note, however, that CDW Holding grew its free cash flow over the last year. However, that's not all there is to consider. We can see that unusual items have impacted its statutory profit, and therefore the accrual ratio.
Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of CDW Holding.
How Do Unusual Items Influence Profit?
The fact that the company had unusual items boosting profit by US$12m, in the last year, probably goes some way to explain why its accrual ratio was so weak. While it's always nice to have higher profit, a large contribution from unusual items sometimes dampens our enthusiasm. When we crunched the numbers on thousands of publicly listed companies, we found that a boost from unusual items in a given year is often not repeated the next year. Which is hardly surprising, given the name. We can see that CDW Holding's positive unusual items were quite significant relative to its profit in the year to December 2022. As a result, we can surmise that the unusual items are making its statutory profit significantly stronger than it would otherwise be.
Our Take On CDW Holding's Profit Performance
CDW Holding had a weak accrual ratio, but its profit did receive a boost from unusual items. For the reasons mentioned above, we think that a perfunctory glance at CDW Holding's statutory profits might make it look better than it really is on an underlying level. Keep in mind, when it comes to analysing a stock it's worth noting the risks involved. Be aware that CDW Holding is showing 4 warning signs in our investment analysis and 2 of those are a bit unpleasant...
Our examination of CDW Holding has focussed on certain factors that can make its earnings look better than they are. And, on that basis, we are somewhat skeptical. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SGX:BXE
CDW Holding
An investment holding company, produces and supplies precision components in Mainland China, Hong Kong, Japan, and internationally.
Excellent balance sheet and slightly overvalued.