What are the early trends we should look for to identify a stock that could multiply in value over the long term? Typically, we'll want to notice a trend of growing return on capital employed (ROCE) and alongside that, an expanding base of capital employed. Put simply, these types of businesses are compounding machines, meaning they are continually reinvesting their earnings at ever-higher rates of return. However, after briefly looking over the numbers, we don't think Jardine Cycle & Carriage (SGX:C07) has the makings of a multi-bagger going forward, but let's have a look at why that may be.
Understanding Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)
For those that aren't sure what ROCE is, it measures the amount of pre-tax profits a company can generate from the capital employed in its business. To calculate this metric for Jardine Cycle & Carriage, this is the formula:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.06 = US$1.2b ÷ (US$28b - US$7.1b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to June 2021).
Therefore, Jardine Cycle & Carriage has an ROCE of 6.0%. In absolute terms, that's a low return, but it's much better than the Retail Distributors industry average of 3.5%.
View our latest analysis for Jardine Cycle & Carriage
In the above chart we have measured Jardine Cycle & Carriage's prior ROCE against its prior performance, but the future is arguably more important. If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report for Jardine Cycle & Carriage.
What Can We Tell From Jardine Cycle & Carriage's ROCE Trend?
The returns on capital haven't changed much for Jardine Cycle & Carriage in recent years. The company has employed 41% more capital in the last five years, and the returns on that capital have remained stable at 6.0%. This poor ROCE doesn't inspire confidence right now, and with the increase in capital employed, it's evident that the business isn't deploying the funds into high return investments.
Our Take On Jardine Cycle & Carriage's ROCE
In conclusion, Jardine Cycle & Carriage has been investing more capital into the business, but returns on that capital haven't increased. And in the last five years, the stock has given away 42% so the market doesn't look too hopeful on these trends strengthening any time soon. All in all, the inherent trends aren't typical of multi-baggers, so if that's what you're after, we think you might have more luck elsewhere.
Jardine Cycle & Carriage does have some risks, we noticed 4 warning signs (and 1 which is a bit unpleasant) we think you should know about.
If you want to search for solid companies with great earnings, check out this free list of companies with good balance sheets and impressive returns on equity.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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About SGX:C07
Jardine Cycle & Carriage
An investment holding company, engages in the financial services, heavy equipment, mining, construction and energy, agribusiness, infrastructure and logistics, information technology, and property businesses in Indonesia and internationally.
Flawless balance sheet with solid track record and pays a dividend.